Objective To verify the association between admission serum phosphate level and short-term (<30 days) mortality of severe pneumonia patients admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) / respiratory intensive care unit (RICU). Methods Severe pneumonia patients admitted to the ICU/RICU of Quanzhou First Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University from November 2019 to September 2021 were included in the study. Serum phosphate was demonstrated as an independent risk factor for short-term mortality of severe pneumonia patients admitted to ICU/RICU by logical analysis and receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve. The patients were further categorized by serum phosphate concentration to explore the relationship between serum phosphate level and short-term mortality. Results Comparison of baseline indicators at admission between the survival group (n=54) and the non survival group (n=46) revealed that there was significant difference in serum phosphate level [0.9 (0.8, 1.2) mmol/L vs. 1.2 (0.9, 1.5) mmol/L, P<0.05]. Logical analysis showed serum phosphate was an independent risk factor for short-term mortality. ROC curve showed that the prediction ability of serum phosphate was close to pneumonia severity index (PSI). After combining serum phosphate with PSI score, CURB65 score, and sequential organ failure score, the predictive ability of these scores for short-term mortality was improved. Compared with the normophosphatemia group, hyperphosphatemia was found be with significantly higher short-term mortality (85.7% vs. 47.3%, P<0.05), which is absent in hypophosphatemia (25.8%). Conclusions Serum phosphate at admission has a good predictive value on short-term mortality in severe pneumonia patients admitted to the ICU/RICU. Hyperphosphatemia at admission is associated with a higher risk of short-term death.
【Abstract】ObjectiveTo compare the reliability of acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) and APACHE Ⅲ to estimate mortality of critical patients in abdominal surgery. MethodsTwo hundred and sixtyone critical patients in abdominal surgery were included in this study. The clinical data of the first day in ICU were collected and evaluated with both APACHE Ⅱand APACHE Ⅲ prognostic systems and statistical analysis were performed. Probability of survival (Ps) was compared with actual mortality. ResultsThe scores of APACHE Ⅱ and APACHE Ⅲ of death group were significantly higher than those of survival group respectively (P＜0.01). The actual mortality of patients whose Ps was no more than 0.5 was higher than that whose Ps was over 0.5 (P＜0.01). With two prognostic systems, the scores and mortality were the highest in pancreatitis patients and the lowest in patients with gastrointestinal malignant tumor. ConclusionAPACHE Ⅱ and APACHE Ⅲ prognostic systems can be effectively applied to the estimation of mortality of critical patients in abdominal surgery. For certain diagnostic categories, APACHE Ⅲ is better than APACHE Ⅱprognostic system.
Objective A comparative study of in-hospital mortality and risk factors of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) caused by carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacteria (CRGNB) and non-carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacteria (nCRGNB) in China was conducted to investigate whether there is a higher in-hospital mortality of VAP caused by CRGNB and its unique associated risk factors. Methods Relevant literatures published at home and abroad in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane library, Web of Science, CNKI and Wanfang databases were retrieved from the date of establishment to June 1, 2021, and the quality of the included literatures was evaluated using Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Meta-analysis of literatures meeting the criteria was performed using RevMan 5.3 software. Results A total of 5 literatures were included, all of which were case-control studies with a total of 574 cases, including 302 cases in the CRGNB group and 272 cases in the nCRGNB group. The results showed that the in-patient mortality of VAP caused by CRGNB infection was significantly increased compared with that of VAP caused by nCRGNB infection (OR=2.51, 95%CI 1.71 - 3.67, P<0.00001). Risk factor analysis of CRGNB infection showed that statistically significant risk factors included mechanical ventilation duration ≥7 days (OR=2.66, 95%CI 1.23 - 5.75, P=0.01), secondary intubation (OR=4.48, 95%CI 2.61 - 7.69], P<0.00001), combined with antibiotics (OR=2.83, 95%CI 1.76 - 4.54, P<0.0001), using carbapenem antibiotics (OR=2.78, 95%CI 1.76 - 4.40, P<0.0001). In addition, two studies showed that tigecycline was sensitive to CRGNB in vitro. Conclusions Compared with nCRGNB-induced VAP, CRGNB infection significantly increases the in-hospital mortality of VAP patients in China, indicating that the in-hospital mortality of CRGNB infection is related to drug resistance, and had little relationship with region and drug resistance mechanism. Among them, mechanical ventilation duration ≥7 days, secondary intubation, combined use of antibiotics and carbapenem antibiotics are risk factors for CRGNB infection in VAP patients. Tigecycline is sensitive to most CRGNB strains in China and is an important choice for the treatment of CRGNB in China.
Objective To evaluate the effects and safety of procalcitonin(PCT)-guided algorithms of antibiotic therapy in critically ill patients in intensive care unit (ICU). Methods Literatures in English and Chinese concerning randomized controlled trials(RCTs) on PCT-guided algorithms of antibiotic therapy in critically ill patients was retrieved by electronic and manual search. All related data were extracted. Meta-analysis was conducted using the statistical software RevMan 5.3 on the basis of strict quality evaluation. Results Eight RCTs involving 2708 ICU patients were included, with 1360 patients in the PCT-guided group and 1348 patients in the control group. Compared with the control group, PCT-guided algorithms were associated with a significant reduction in the duration of antibiotic therapy (MD -2.44 days, 95%CI -3.25 to -1.62, P < 0.00001), and the occurrence of adverse reaction of antibiotics was also lower (RR=0.74, 95%CI 0.56 to 0.97, P=0.03), however the mortality exhibited no difference between the PCT-guided group and the control group (RR=1.00, 95%CI 0.89 to 1.13, P=0.99). Conclusion PCT-guided algorithms can shorten the duration of antibiotic therapy and reduce the occurrence of adverse reaction in critically ill patients without significant effect on mortality.
Objective To develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of death in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), explain the factors related to the risk of death in COPD patients, and solve the "black box" problem of ML model. Methods A total of 8088 patients with severe COPD were selected from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). Data within the initial 24 hours of each ICU stay were extracted and randomly divided, with 70% for model training and 30% for model validation. The LASSO regression was deployed for predictor variable selection to avoid overfitting. Five ML models were employed to predict in-hospital mortality. The prediction performance of the ML models was compared with alternative models using the area under curve (AUC), while SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method was used to explain this random forest (RF) model. Results The RF model performed best among the APACHE IVa scoring system and five ML models with the AUC of 0.830 (95%CI 0.806 - 0.855). The SHAP method detects the top 10 predictors according to the importance ranking and the minimum of non-invasive systolic blood pressure was recognized as the most significant predictor variable. Conclusion Leveraging ML model to capture risk factors and using the SHAP method to interpret the prediction outcome can predict the risk of death of patients early, which helps clinicians make accurate treatment plans and allocate medical resources rationally.
Objective To study the mortality and prognostic factors of post-operative acute respiratory failure in cancer patients. Methods There were 1632 postoperative cancer patients from2004 to 2006 in the ICU of Cancer Hospital, in which 447 patients were complicated with acute respiratory failure ( intubation or tracheotomy and mechanical ventilation) . The clinical data was retrospectively analyzed. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to identify variables associated with mortality for acute respiratory failure. Results In 447 patients with acute respiratory failure ( male 260, female 187) , 106 cases died with a mortality of 6. 5% . Single factor analysis showed that acute morbodities ( shock, infection, organ failure) , intervention ( continuous renal replacement therapy, vasopressor drugs) , the 28-day ICU free days and APACHE scores ( ≥ 20) had significant differences between the survivor and non-survivor. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that duration of operation( P = 0. 008, OR 1. 032, 95% CI 1. 008-1. 057) , APACHEⅡ≥20 scores( P =0. 000, OR12. 200, 95% CI 2. 896-51. 406) , organ function failure( P =0. 000, OR 13. 344,95% CI 3. 791-7. 395) were associated with mortality of acute respiratory failure. Conclusion Duration of operation, organ function failure, and APACHE Ⅱ scores were risk prognostic factors for postoperative cancer patients with acute respiratory failure.
Objective To investigate the potential effect of glucocorticoids (referred to as 'hormones' here) on decreasing case fatality rate in patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) negative Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PJP). Methods The clinical data of a cohort of 93 patients that were diagnosed with HIV-negative PJP at Jiangxi Provincial People's Hospital between April 2019 and April 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. These patients were classified into two groups based on the partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood (PaO2), specifically PaO2 ≥70 mm Hg and PaO2 <70 mm Hg. The association between case fatality rate and various factors such as underlying diseases, hormone use, mechanical ventilation, and others was examined. Results Over a period of three years, 93 cases of HIV-negative PJP were identified. The most prevalent underlying diseases were solid organ transplantation (n=34, 36.6%), rheumatic system diseases (n=26, 28.0%), and malignant tumors (n=15, 16.1%). 51 cases had arterial PaO2 levels ≥70 mm Hg, while 42 cases had levels <70 mm Hg. Moreover, 19 patients required invasive ventilation, 39 patients were treated with non-invasive ventilation, while 50 patients received oxygenation using a nasal cannula. Out of the 93 patients, 31 died from the disease, resulting in an overall case fatality rate of 33.3%. Meanwhile, 62 patients survived. In patients with arterial PaO2 levels ≥70 mm Hg, the administration of hormones did not significantly affect the case fatality rate (P > 0.05); In patients with arterial PaO2 level <70 mm Hg, the administration of hormones did not significantly affect the case fatality rate (P > 0.05). Conclusion Hormone use did not contribute to improved survival rates in HIV-negative PJP patients, regardless of arterial PaO2 level.
目的 探讨脑出血患者病死率与发病早期不同血压水平的关系。 方法 选择2006年2月－2012年6月在我院住院、符合入选标准及排除标准的患者120例, 经头颅CT证实为基底节区脑出血，血肿体积20～40 mL，收缩压＜200 mm Hg（1 mm Hg=0.133 kPa），舒张压＜110 mm Hg。 按照中国高血压分级标准（1级高血压：收缩压140～159 mm Hg或舒张压90～99 mm Hg；2级高血压：收缩压160～179 mm Hg或舒张压100～109 mm Hg；3级高血压：收缩压≥180 mm Hg或舒张压≥110 mm Hg）将患者分组，各组采用降颅内压、营养神经、维持水电解质平衡、对症治疗及康复治疗和康复护理等常规治疗，观察2周内各组病死率。 结果 1级高血压组与2级高血压组2周内病死率比较，差异无统计学意义（χ2=0.075，P=0.785）；1级高血压组与3级高血压组2周内病死率比较，差异有统计学意义（χ2=5.698，P=0.017）；2级高血压组与3级高血压组2周内病死率比较，差异有统计学意义（χ2=4.528，P=0.033）。 结论 对于早期血压较高的脑出血患者，进行积极的降压治疗，将血压控制在2级高血压水平，可以明显降低病死率。
ObjectiveTo investigate the associations of preoperative red cell distribution width (RDW) with mortality and morbidity in patients underwent liver transplantation. MethodsThis investigation was a retrospective study, the patients underwent liver transplantation met the inclusion criteria from June 2017 to May 2020 in the West China Hospital of Sichuan University were enrolled. The patients were divided into RDW≤14.5% group and RDW>14.5% group according to the normal RDW critical value (14.5%). The propensity score matching (PSM) was used to adjust the baseline characteristics. The primary outcome was 1-year mortality. The secondary outcomes included 1-year survival, 30-day mortality, incidence of early allograft dysfunction, acute kidney injury, renal replacement therapy, and pulmonary complications, as well as ICU stay and postoperative hospital stay. ResultsA total of 303 patients who met the analysis conditions were included. After PSM, 57 patients in each group were matched. There were no significant differences between the two groups in the baseline data such as the gender, age, body mass index (BMI), initial diagnosis, MELD score, Child-Pugh grade of the recipients, and the gender, age, and BMI of the donors (P>0.05). The 1-year [22.8% (13/57) versus 5.3% (3/57), χ2=7.27, P=0.007] and 30-day [15.8% (9/57) versus 3.5% (2/57), χ2=4.93, P=0.026] mortality of the patients with RDW >14.5% were higher than that of the patients with RDW ≤14.5% . The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 1-year survival of the patients with RDW ≤14.5% after liver transplantation was better than that of the patients with RDW >14.5% [hazard ratio=4.75, 95%CI (1.78, 12.67), P=0.007], but there were no significant differences between the two groups in the incidence of early graft dysfunction, acute renal injury, renal replacement therapy, and pulmonary complications, as well as postoperative hospital stay and ICU stay (P>0.05). ConclusionPreliminary results of this study indicate that preoperative RDW of patients underwent allogeneic liver transplantation is associated with1-year mortality, 30-day mortality, and 1-year survival.
Abstract： Objective To evaluate the incidence and prognosis of postoperative acute kidney injury （AKI） in patients after cardiovascular surgery， and analyse the value of AKI criteria and classification using the Acute Kidney Injury Network （AKIN） definition to predict their in-hospital mortality. Methods A total of 1 056 adult patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery in Renji Hospital of School of Medicine， Shanghai Jiaotong University from Jan. 2004 to Jun. 2007 were included in this study. AKI criteria and classification under AKIN definition were used to evaluate the incidence and in-hospital mortality of AKI patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to evaluate preoperative， intraoperative， and postoperative risk factors related to AKI. Results Among the 1 056 patients， 328 patients（31.06%） had AKI. In-hospital mortality of AKI patients was significantly higher than that of non-AKI patients （11.59% vs. 0.69%， P＜0.05）. Multivariate logistic regression analysis suggested that advanced age （OR=1.40 per decade）， preoperative hyperuricemia（OR=1.97）， preoperative left ventricular failure （OR=2.53）， combined CABG and valvular surgery （OR=2.79）， prolonged operation time （OR=1.43 per hour）， postoperative hypovolemia （OR=11.08） were independent risk factors of AKI after cardiovascular surgery. The area under the ROC curve of AKIN classification to predict in-hospital mortality was 0.865 （95% CI 0.801-0.929）. Conclusion Higher AKIN classification is related to higher in-hospital mortality after cardiovascular surgery. Advanced age， preoperative hyperuricemia， preoperative left ventricular failure， combined CABG and valvular surgery， prolonged operation time， postoperative hypovolemia are independent risk factors of AKI after cardiovascular surgery. AKIN classification can effectively predict in-hospital mortality in patients after cardiovascular surgery， which provides evidence to take effective preventive and interventive measures for high-risk patients as early as possible.