Objective To investigate the relationship between preoperative hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte and platelet (HALP) score, and clinicopathologic features of colon cancer, and to analyze the predictive value of HALP score for postoperative liver metastasis. Methods The clinical data of 163 patients with colon cancer admitted to the 909th Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force (Dongnan Hospital of Xiamen University) from January 2018 to December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the occurrence of postoperative liver metastasis, the patients were divided into metastatic group (n=35) and non-metastatic group (n=128). The correlation between preoperative HAPL score and clinicopathologic features of colon cancer was analyzed. The predictive value of HALP score for postoperative liver metastasis of colon cancer was analyzed by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The risk factors of liver metastasis after colon cancer surgery were analyzed by using univariate and multivariate logistic analysis. Kaplan-Meier risk curve was drawn, and log-rank test was used to analyze the predictive value of different HALP score for postoperative liver metastasis. Results HALP score were decreased in patients with maximum tumor diameter ≥5 cm, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥5 μg/L, serous membrane and extrasserous infiltration, lymph node metastasis and vascular invasion, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that HALP score [OR=1.467, 95%CI (1.253, 1.718), P<0.001], maximum tumor diameter [OR=3.476, 95%CI (1.475, 5.358), P=0.013], preoperative CEA level [OR= 6.197, 95%CI (2.436, 6.248), P=0.005], and lymph node metastasis [OR=2.593, 95%CI (1.667, 6.759) , P=0.003] were risk factors for postoperative liver metastasis of colon cancer. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of HALP score for predicting liver metastasis after colon cancer surgery was 0.908 (0.841, 0.974), the maximum value of the Youden index was 0.738, the optimal cut-off value of the HALP score was 35.5, the sensitivity was 0.852, the specificity was 0.886. Kaplan-Meier risk curve showed that the risk of early postoperative liver metastasis in the low HALP score group was higher than that in the high HALP score group (χ2=8.126, P=0.004). Conclusion Low HALP score in patients with colon cancer is associated with adverse prognosisi related pathological features, and is an influential factor for postoperative liver metastasis of colon cancer, and has predictive value for patients with postoperative liver metastasis of colon cancer.
Objective Exploring the correlation between intravesical pressure (IP) and diaphragm excursion (DE) in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and evaluating its predictive value for weaning outcomes. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 144 SAP patients with ARDS admitted between 2020 and 2023. By collecting the outcome of weaning, collect data on gender, age, acute physiology and chronic health score II (APACHE II), oxygenation index, and IP and DE before weaning and extubation for all patients. Based on weaning outcomes, divide patients into successful and failed groups, and compare the differences in various indicators between the two groups; Use binary logistic regression to analyze whether IP and DE are risk factors affecting weaning in SAP patients with ARDS, and use Pearson correlation analysis to examine the correlation between IP and DE; Use receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) to analyze the predictive value of IP and DE on weaning outcomes in SAP patients with ARDS. ResultsA total of 144 SAP patients with ARDS were included, of which 108 were successfully weaned and 36 were unsuccessful. There were no statistically significant differences in gender, age, and APACHE II scores between the successful and failed groups (males: 62.96% (68/108) compared to 69.44% (25/36), age (years): 41.91 ± 8.14 compared to 42.42 ± 6.22, APACHE II score (points): 18.28 ± 2.22 compared to 18.97 ± 1.83, P>0.05). The IP of the successful group was significantly lower than that of the failed group, and the DE was significantly higher than that of the failed group [IP (mmHg): 18.45 ± 3.76 compared to 23.92 ± 5.65, DE (mm): 16.18 ± 4.23 compared to 12.28 ± 4.44, all P<0.05]. All patients showed a significant negative correlation between IP and DE (r=–0.457, P<0.001). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of IP predicting the withdrawal outcome of SAP patients with ARDS was 0.805, with a 95% confidence interval (95%CI) of 0.724-0.885 and P<0.001. When the cutoff value was 19.5 mmHg, the sensitivity was 91.57% and the specificity was 47.54%; The AUC for predicting the withdrawal outcome of SAP patients with ARDS by DE was 0.738, with a 95%CI of 0.641-0.834 and P<0.001. When the cutoff value was 11.5 points, the sensitivity was 84.82% and the specificity was 59.38%. Conclusions There is a significant negative correlation between IP and DE in SAP combined with ARDS patients, and both have certain predictive value for weaning outcomes.
目的 探讨替比夫定治疗乙肝e抗原（HBeAg）阳性慢性乙型肝炎（CHB）患者72周的疗效及预测因素的分析。 方法 选择2007年9月－2012年9月符合入选标准的82例CHB患者接受替比夫定治疗72周，于治疗前基线、治疗后每3个月查丙氨酸氨基转移酶（ALT）、乙肝病毒DNA（HBV DNA）、乙肝病毒血清标志物，观察治疗期间累计生化学应答率、完全病毒学应答率(CVR)、HBeAg血清学转换率（SR）及耐药率，分析基线ALT水平[分为＜5 ULN（正常值检测下限）组及≥5 ULN组]、HBV DNA水平（分为＜107 copies/mL组及≥107 copies/mL组）、24周HBV DNA水平（＜3 log 10 copies/mL组及≥3 log 10 copies/mL组），预测72周CVR及SR。 结果 172周累计生化学应答率、CVR、SR、耐药率分别为86.6%、81.7%、42.7%、18.2%；2基线ALT≥5 ULN对72周SR有预测价值（χ2=5.651，P=0.017），HBV DNA＜107 copies/mL对CVR有预测价值（χ2=7.083，P=0.008）；324周HBV DNA＜103 copies/mL对72周CVR及SR均有预测价值（χ2=27.339，5.131；P=0.000，0.023）。 结论 替比夫定初治HBeAg阳性CHB患者疗效及安全性好，治疗24周HBV DNA＜103 copies/mL是72周疗效的最佳预测指标。
ObjectiveTo compare the predictive value of six thrombotic risk assessment scales, including Autar, Wells, Padua, Caprini, Khorana, and COMPASS-CAT, for the deep venous thrombosis (DVT) of lower extremity in patients with gastrointestinal tumors. MethodsThe patients with gastrointestinal tumors who received surgical treatment in the General Surgery Department of Lanzhou University Second Hospital from March 2023 to October 2023 were collected. The risk of DVT on day 3 after surgery for the patient with gastrointestinal tumors was prospectively evaluated using the Autar, Wells, Padua, Caprini, Khorana, and COMPASS-CAT assessment scales. And the DVT was detected by ultrasound examination. The pionts of six thrombotic risk assessment scales were compared between the patient with DVT and without DVT based on the ultrasound examination results. The predictive value of the six thrombotic risk assessment scales for the lower extremity DVT in the patients with gastrointestinal tumors was evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). ResultsA total of 108 patients who met the criteria, including 71 males and 37 females, were enrolled, age ranged from 18 to 85 years old, (58.3±11.2) years old. Fourty-two cases (38.9%) of DVT occurred. The age of patients with DVT was older than that of patients without DVT (P<0.05), but there were no statistical differences in the gender, body mass index, tumor location, comorbidities, and so on (P>0.05). The points of Autar, Padua, and Caprini in the patients with DVT were higher than those in the patients without DVT (P<0.05), while there were no statistical differences in the points of Wells, Khorana, and COMPASS-CAT between the two (P>0.05). The AUC for differentiating the occurrence of DVT in the patients with gastrointestinal tumors using the Autar, Wells, Padua, Caprini, Khorana, and COMPASS-CAT assessment scales were 0.907, 0.548, 0.636, 0.627, 0.589, and 0.535, respectively; The sensitivities were 97.6%, 14.3%, 52.4%, 83.3%, 47.6%, and 21.4%; The specificities were 2.4%, 85.7%, 47.6%, 16.7%, 52.4%, and 78.6%, respectively. ConclusionAccording to the abilities of Autar, Wells, Padua, Caprini, Khorana, and COMPASS-CAT to distinguish the occurrence of DVT in patients with gastrointestinal tumors after surgery, only the Autar evaluation scale is found to be more effective, while the other five evaluation scales are generally able to distinguish the occurrence of DVT.
Objective To explore the predictive value of Composite Congestion Score (CCS) in predicting adverse events within 180 days in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) in emergency intensive care unit (EICU). Methods The patients with AHF who were admitted to EICU of Zigong Fourth People’s Hospital between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2020 were included consecutively. The patients were followed up for 180 days, and were divided into poor prognosis group and good prognosis group according to whether there were adverse events. Logistic regression equation was used to screen independent risk factors for predicting adverse events in patients with AHF within 180 days after leaving EICU. To compare the discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness of independent risk factors at EICU discharge and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Assessment SystemⅡ (APACHEⅡ) score at EICU admission to predict the occurrence of adverse events of AHF. Results A total of 71 patients were included, including 32 patients with good prognosis and 39 patients with poor prognosis. Except for age, APACHEⅡscore at EICU admission and CCS score at EICU discharge (P<0.05), there was no significant difference in other indicators between the two groups (P>0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that CCS score at EICU discharge [odds ratio (OR)=2.806, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.428, 5.512), P=0.003], age [OR=1.086, 95%CI (1.017, 1.159), P=0.013] were independent risk factors for predicting death or returning to hospital within 180 days. Among them, the CCS score at EICU discharge combining with age had a positive improvement ability compared with the CCS score at EICU discharge, the age, and the APACHE Ⅱ score at EICU admission. The calibration curves of the four scoring methods for predicting adverse events within 180 days showed that the CCS score at EICU discharge had the highest calibration and the calibration of age was the lowest. The decision curve showed that the clinical usefulness of age, the CCS score at EICU discharge and the CCS score at EICU discharge combining with age was better than the APACHE Ⅱ score at EICU admission. Conclusions The CCS score of patients with AHF at EICU discharge is closely related to adverse events within 180 days. The CCS score is designed based on clinical variables, simple and practical. The combination of age and the CCS score at EICU discharge will further enhance its clinical application value.
ObjectiveTo observe and evaluate the predictive value of serum cystatin C (Cys-C) on the risk of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR). MethodsA non-randomized controlled cross-sectional clinical study. Ninety-two patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) who were admitted to Department of Ophthalmology of Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital from January 2022 to October 2022 were included in the study. Among them, 50 were male, 42 cases were female, with the mean age of (58.24±12.49) years. The mean duration of T2DM was (13.18±8.35) years, of which 38 cases had a duration of ≥10 years. Twenty-nine cases complicated with hypertension, of which 16 cases had a duration of ≥10 years. Seventeen cases complicated with chronic kidney disease stage 2 and 23 cases were treated with lipid-lowering drugs. Hemoglobin Alc, serum Cys-C, serum lipids and renal function were tested, and urinary microalbumin/creatinine ratio (ACR) was calculated. According to the 2003 American Academy of Ophthalmology "Clinical Guidelines for Diabetic Retinopathy (DR)" and international clinical DR severity grading standards, the patients were divided into STDR and non-STDR groups, with 44 and 48 cases in each group, respectively. STDR was defined as severe non-proliferative DR, proliferative DR, and macular edema. Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors of STDR in T2DM patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to calculate and analyze the area under ROC curve (AUC) and the predictive value of serum Cys-C and ACR in predicting STDR in T2DM patients. ResultsSerum Cys-C levels in STDR and non-STDR groups were 1.10 (0.94, 1.28) and 0.91 (0.83, 1.02) mg/L, respectively, with ACR of 4.29 (1.05, 21.89) and 1.39 (0.77, 3.80) mg/mmol, respectively. Compared with non-STDR group, serum Cys-C and ACR in STDR group were higher, and the difference was statistically significant (Z=－3.984, －3.280; P＜0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that serum Cys-C was an independent risk factor for STDR (odds ratio=1.337, 95% confidence interval 1.145-2.090, P=0.033), and the risk of STDR increased by 33.7% for every 0.1 mg/L increase in serum Cys-C. ROC analysis results showed that serum Cys-C＞1.065 mg/L combined with ACR＞5.84 mg/mmol predicted the AUC of STDR in T2DM patients was 0.661, with the specificity of 95.8%. ConclusionsThe high serum Cys-C level is an independent risk factor for STDR in T2DM patients. Serum Cys-C has high predictive value for the occurrence of STDR.
ObjectiveTo explore the predictive value of preoperative serum heat shock protein 90α (HSP90α) level in combination with the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). MethodsThe HCC patients confirmed by histopathological examination and underwent TACE at Guigang People’s Hospital from January 2022 to June 2023 were as the observation group, the healthy individuals who underwent physical examinations during the same period and same hospital as the control group. The blood before treatment and on the day of the physical examination was collected to detected the HSP90α and albumin levels, as well as lymphocyte count. The PNI was calculated [PNI=albumin (g/L)+5×lymphocyte count (×109/L)]. The clinical outcome (tumor progression or death) was observed within one year after TACE treatment, those without tumor progression or death were defined as a good prognosis, while those with tumor progression or death were defined as a poor prognosis. Using the multivariate unconditional logistic regression analysis to identify the risk factors affecting the poor prognosis for HCC patients, and the receive operating characteristic (ROC) curve to evaluate the predictive value of serum HSP90α level in combination with PNI in distinguishing prognosis after TACE treatment.ResultsIn this study, there were 178 cases in the observation group and 100 cases in the control group. The serum HSP90α level (μg/L) in the observation group was higher than that in the control group (96.40±33.57 vs. 52.19±22.13, t=3.191, P<0.001), and the PNI value was lower than that in the control group (43.70±5.24 vs. 56.46±6.86, t=–16.144, P<0.001); Within one year after TACE treatment, there were 70 patients with poor prognosis and 108 patients with good prognosis. The serum HSP90α (μg/L) level in the patients with poor prognosis was higher than that in the patients with good prognosis (117.33±29.48 vs. 82.83±28.84, t=7.726, P<0.001), and the PNI was lower than that in the control group (40.49±4.18 vs. 45.78±4.80, t=–7.548, P<0.001). The multivariate unconditional logistic regression analysis found that the probabilities of incidence of poor prognosis after TACE treatment were higher in the patients with Chinese liver cancer staging Ⅲa–Ⅲb stage [reference: Ⅰ–Ⅱa stage, OR (95%CI)=5.332 (1.058, 26.875), P=0.043] and increased age and HSP90α level [OR (95%CI)=1.100 (1.025, 1.180), P=0.008; OR (95%CI)=1.049 (1.029, 1.070), P<0.001] , as well as decreased PNI value [OR (95%CI)=0.772 (0.686, 0.869), P<0.001]. The area under the ROC curve after TACE treatment in the HCC patients by serum HSP90α level in combination with PNI was 0.878 [95%CI=(0.820, 0.922)] in differentiating poor prognosis or not. ConclusionThe analysis results of this study suggest that preoperative serum HSP90α level in combination with PNI has a higher predictive value for prognosis of HCC patients after TACE treatment.
ObjectiveTo evaluate the predictive value of the diaphragm ultrasound for weaning from mechanical ventilation.MethodsThe patients who received mechanical ventilation in Fujian Provincial Hospital between February 2016 to December 2017 and met the criteria for a T-tube spontaneous breathing trial were included in the study. Then right diaphragmatic displacement (DD) and diaphragmatic thickening fraction (DTF) were evaluated using M-mode ultrasonography as well as the rapid shallow breathing index (RSBI, the ratio of respiratory rate to tidal volume). A new index was named as the diaphragmatic-RSBI (D-RSBI, the ratio of respiratory rate to DD). The patients were classified into a success group or a failure group according to the weaning outcomes. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated to evaluate the predictive performance of each index.ResultsFifty-nine patients were weaned successfully and failure of weaning was found in 29 patients. There were no statistically significant differences in pre-weaning parameters including age, sex, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, blood lipid index (total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride), or fast blood glucose between the weaning success group and the weaning failure group (P>0.05), but there were statistically significant differences in body mass index and acute physiology and chronic health condition Ⅱ score between two groups (P<0.05). DD [(13.44±3.23)mm vs. (10.28±2.82)mm, DTF [(32.43±12.35)% vs. (27.64±5.77)%, P<0.05] and D-RSBI [(1.49±0.47) breaths·min–1·mm–1 vs. (2.55±0.87) breaths·min–1·mm–1, P<0.05] differed significantly between the weaning success group and the weaning failure group. A cutoff of DTF≥27.9% yielded a sensitivity of 98.3%, a specificity of 62.1%, and an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.873. A cutoff of D-RSBI≤1.73 breaths·min–1·mm–1 yielded a sensitivity of 76.3%, a specificity of 93.1%, and an AUC of 0.887. By comparison, when RSBI was ≤50.9 breaths·min–1·mm–1, there was a sensitivity of 91.5%, a specificity of 86.2%, and an AUC of 0.927. There was no statistically significant difference in AUC between D-RSBI and RSBI (P>0.05).ConclusionsDiaphragm ultrasound is feasible to predict the outcome of weaning. DTF and D-RSBI are as same accurate as the traditional RSBI in predicting the weaning outcome, but more objective and suitable for clinical application.
ObjectiveTo evaluate clinical value of colon leakage score (CLS), a preoperative predictive scoring system, for risk of anastomotic leakage after left-sided colorectal cancer surgery. MethodsThe clinical data of 310 patients who underwent left-sided colorectal cancer surgery from January 2010 to December 2014 were studied retrospectively. Risk factors for postoperative anastomotic leakage were analyzed by univariate analysis. The sensitivity and specificity of CLS system were determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Resultsa total of 14 patients were diagnosed as anastomotic leakage. The point of CLS for the patients with anastomotic leakage was significantly higher than that for the patients without anastomotic leakage (14.21±5.76 versus 4.43±3.36, t=9.474, P=0.000). The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the sensitivity and specificity of the CLS system were 92.9% and 88.6%, respectively. The area under the curve was 0.957 (95% CI 0.924-0.991). The best cut off value of CLS was 10 (The Youden index was 0.867). The results of univariate analysis showed that the age, preoperative hemoglobin level, status of intestinal obstruction, and blood loss were associated with postoperative anastomotic leakage (P<0.05). ConclusionThe preoperative predictive score system CLS could accurately predict occurrence of anastomotic leakage. While large, multicenter prospective randomized controlled trial is still needed to further confirm it.
Objective To analyze the value of serum levels of miR-141-3p, miR-130a, miR-29a-3p, and miR-210 in predicting early neurological deterioration (END) in non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods The patients with non-traumatic cerebral hemorrhage who met the selection criteria and were admitted to Chengde Central Hospital between February 2021 and October 2022 were prospectively selected by convenience sampling method. The serum miR-141-3p, miR-130a, miR-29a-3p, and miR-210 levels upon admission and the occurrence of neurological deterioration within 24 h were collected, and the patients were divided into a deterioration group and a non-deterioration group according to whether neurological deterioration occurred. The correlation of serum miR-141-3p, miR-130a, miR-29a-3p, and miR-210 levels with the END of non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage and their predictive value to the END of non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage were analyzed. Results A total of 235 patient were enrolled. Of the 235 patients, 45 (19.1%) showed neurological deterioration and 190 (80.9%) showed no neurological deterioration. The levels of miR-141-3p and miR-29a-3p in the deteriorating group were significantly lower than those in the non-deteriorating group [(1.11±0.32) vs. (1.76±0.51) ng/mL, P<0.001; (1.19±0.31) vs. (1.71±0.51) ng/mL, P<0.001], and the levels of miR-130a and miR-210 were significantly higher than those in the non-deteriorating group [(5.13±1.11) vs. (3.82±1.03) ng/mL, P<0.001; (3.96±0.76) vs. (2.78±0.50) ng/mL, P<0.001]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that serum miR-141-3p and miR-29a-3p levels were protective factors for the occurrence of END in non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage patients [odds ratio (OR)=0.513, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.330, 0.798), P=0.003; OR=0.582, 95%CI (0.380, 0.893), P=0.013], and serum miR-130a and miR-210 levels were independent risk factors for that [OR=2.046, 95%CI (1.222, 3.426), P=0.007; OR=2.377, 95%CI (1.219, 4.638), P=0.011]. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.857 [95%CI (0.760, 0.954)] in predicting the END of non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage by the combined probability of the serum miR-141-3p, miR-130a, miR-29a-3p, and miR-210 levels obtained by logistic regression, and the sensitivity was 86.7%, the specificity was 94.7%, the positive predictive value was 79.6%, and the negative predictive value was 96.8% according to the cut-off value of the prediction probability of the combined test. Conclusion The combined detection of serum miR-141-3p, miR-130a, miR-29a-3p, and miR-210 has a high predictive value in the occurrence of END in non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage patients.