Objective To analyze and screen the risk factors of both immunohistochemistry and pathology for lung cancer lymphatic metastasis, and to build a mathematical model for preliminary evaluation. Methods By conducting retrospective studies, the information of lung cancer patients in the General Hospital of Air Force from 2009 to 2011 were collected. Both single and multiple unconditional logistic regression analyses were applied to screen total 27 possible factors for lymphatic metastasis. After the factors with statistical significance were selected, the relevant mathematical model was built and then evaluated by means of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results A total of 216 patients were included. The single analyses on 27 possible factors showed significant differences in the following 10 factors: pathological grade (P=0.00), age (P=0.00), tumor types (P=0.01), nm23 (P=0.00), GSTII (P=0.01), TTF1 (P=0.01), MRP (P=0.01), CK14 (P=0.02), CD56 (P=0.02), and EGFR (P=0.03). The multiple factors unconditional logistic regression analyses on those 10 risk factors screened 4 relevant factors as follows: pathological grade (OR=2.34), age (OR=1.02), nm23 (OR=1.66), and EGFR (OR=1.47). Then a mathematical diagnostic model was established based on those 4 identified risk factors, and the result of ROC analysis showed it could improve the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity compared with the single factor mathematical diagnostic model. Conclusion Pathological grade, age, nm23, and EGFR are related with lung cancer lymphatic metastasis, and all of them are the risk factors which have higher adjuvant diagnostic value for lung cancer lymphatic metastasis.
Objective To assess the risk factors associated with postoperative infection after elective abdominal operation for elderly in department of general surgery. Methods One hundred and fifty-nine consecutive elderly patients admitted to the department of general surgery in our hospital for elective abdominal operation between May 2010 and February 2012 were considered for inclusion and retrospectively analyzed. Thirty-eight patients （23.90%）with postoperative infection were taken as the infection group and 121 patients without postoperative infection as noninfection group. The differences in the objective physiological indicators， subjective health status indicators， operation status， the incidence of postoperative infective complications， and mortality were compared between the two groups. Results Of enrolled 159 patients in this study， the incidence of postoperative infective complications was 23.90% （38/159）； 2 patients died， and the postoperative mortality rate was 1.26%. Single factor and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative malnutrition risk， history of diabetes， and chronic respiratory system disease were the independent risk factors of postoperative infection complications in elective abdominal surgery for elderly patients. Conclusion Improving preoperative respiratory function， diabetes mellitus， and nutritional status would help to reduce incidence of postoperative infection for elderly patients with elective abdominal operation.
ObjectiveTo analyze the increased risks of nursing due to expansion of ophthalmic day surgery indications, and the countermeasures. MethodsWe collected the information in the last three years from January 2012 to December 2014 in the Department of Ophthalmology, including the number of operations, the proportion of cataract patients, patients aged over 70 and under 12 years old, patients with high-risk fall, the number of general anesthesia operations, adverse events, and the data from the satisfaction survey of the patients. All the data were analyzed by statistical method. ResultsDuring the last three years, the relaxation of ophthalmic day surgery indications led to an increased admission rate of high-risk patients, and caused more nursing risk factors. Through the efforts of prevention and care, during the last three years, there were no adverse events, and patients had a satisfaction rate over 90%. ConclusionAlthough the ophthalmic day surgery indication has been relaxed, through the establishment of nursing risk response system by pre-hospital guidance, admission assessment, peri-operative education and follow-up visit, with the continuous improvement of nursing management system and convenient workflow, we can not only improve the work efficiency, but also ensure nursing safety.
Esophageal carcinoma surgery belongs to high risk subjects. Esophageal carcinoma radical resection and reconstruction is popular in the surgical field and one of the most challenging operations. How to understand, evaluate and treat risks, take corresponding measures, so as to reduce and avoid risks, has been the focus of clinical attention and research. we base on clinical work practices, review the relevant literatures, try to review the risk factors of Esophageal cancer surgery, evaluation methods, risk classification, and its preventive countermeasures for preliminary thinking and discussions, to provide a useful reference to development of a scientific, rational and practical Esophageal cancer surgery risk scoring system.
ObjectiveTo explore the association between wearing dentures and the risk of head and neck cancer using meta-analysis. MethodsPubMed, EMbase, CNKI, and WanFang Data were searched up to April 30th, 2014, for cohort studies and case-control studies about the association between wearing dentures and the risk of head and neck cancer. Literature screening according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, data extraction and methodological quality assessment of included studies were completed by two reviewers independently. Then meta-analysis was conducted using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis v 2.2 software. ResultsEight case-control studies in 7 reports were finally included. The results of meta-analysis revealed that, low-degree association existed between wearing dentures and the risk of head and neck cancer (OR=1.08, 95%CI 1.00 to 1.16); and the results of further subgroup analysis (according to gender, cancer lesions, confounders adjustment, and publication years) also showed no significant difference. ConclusionWearing dentures is not significantly associated with the risk of head and neck cancer (no difference regarding gender or cancer lesions). Due to limitations of this meta-analysis, high-quality studies with large sample size are needed to further verify the above conclusion.
ObjectiveTo study the effect of quality control circle activities on reducing the risk of observed patients. MethodBy carrying out the quality control circle, it was done that confirming the subject, grasping the risk of observed patients, setting a goal, analyzing the risk factors of existing problems, finding out the real reasons, drawing up and actualizing the countermeasures. ResultsAfter carrying out the quality control circle, the main risk factor, emergency rescue, of observed patients was ameliorated significantly (P < 0.05). The risk was declined from 0.41% to 0.14% (P < 0.05). The self-evaluation of circle members was improved (P < 0.001). ConclusionBy the quality control circle, it is actualized effectively that reducing the risk of observed patients and improving the overall qualities of nurses. This thing is helpful to improve the quality of nursing.
ObjectiveTo quest the risk factors of poor prognoses in children with tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) during perioperative period and evaluate its clinical application values.MethodsA retrospective analysis of the clinical data of 119 children who underwent one-stage correction of TOF in Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital from September 2016 to January 2019. The cohort includes 75 males and 44 females, with ages ranging from 3.2-137.1 (13.2±1.4) months and weights ranging from 4.6-21.0 (8.3±0.2) kg. Perioperative poor prognosis was defined as duration of mechanically assisted ventilation >48 h or secondary intubation, vasoactive-inotropic score (VIS) within 48 h >40, postoperative length of stay >14 d, and the occurrence of the major adverse events. Major adverse events were defined as early death, malignant arrhythmia, low cardiac output syndrome, non-fatal cardiac arrest, postoperative reintervention, diaphragm paralysis, and other clinical complications. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were used to analyze the correlation between risk factors and poor prognoses.ResultsThere was 1 perioperative death, and 9 with major adverse events. Variables selected by Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) included 2 preoperative variables (McGoon index, aortic root diameter index) and 4 intra-operative variables [left-right direction of bicuspid pulmonary valve, total length of right ventricular outflow tract (RVOT) incision index, pulmonary valve with commissurotomy, and minimum temperature in cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB)]. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were used to the above factors, respectively. The variables with statistical significance (P≤0.05) were McGoon index, aortic root diameter index, left-right direction of bicuspid pulmonary valve, and minimum temperature in CPB. A nomogram was established based on the above factors, and the results showed that the left-right direction of bicuspid pulmonary valve was more risky than the tricuspid pulmonary valve and the anterior-posterior direction of bicuspid pulmonary valve. The lower the McGoon index, the higher aortic root diameter, and the lower temperature in CPB, the higher risk of poor prognostic events in children with TOF.ConclusionThe left-right direction of the pulmonary bicuspid valve has a higher risk of poor prognosis than the tricuspid pulmonary valve and the anterior-posterior direction of bicuspid pulmonary valve. With the smaller McGoon index and the larger aortic root diameter, the risk of poor prognoses in children with TOF is higher. The temperature in CPB being lower than medium-low temperature obviously relates to the high incidence of poor prognostic events, which can be used as an auxiliary reference standard for decision-making in pediatric TOF surgery in the future.
Objective To investigate the values of cytokines in evaluating the severity and prognosis of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Methods A total of 205 COVID-19 patients in Wuhan Leishenshan Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. According to the severity of the disease, patients were divided into common group (n=117), severe group (n=69) and critical group (n=19). The patients’ basic condition and cytokine related parameters were collected, the differences between the three groups were compared and their values in assessing the severity and prognosis of COVID-19 patients were analyzed. Results There were statistically significant differences in the age, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 nucleic acid test results, interleukin (IL)-6, IL-10, IL-2 receptor, IL-8, and tumor necrosis factor-α among the three groups of patients (P<0.05). Correlation analysis showed that the age, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 nucleic acid test continued to be positive for 20 days, IL-6 level, IL-10 level, IL-2 receptors level, IL-8 level and tumor necrosis factor-α level were related to the classification of COVID-19. The correlation coefficient rs was 0.354, 0.187, 0.366, 0.327, 0.329, 0.273 and 0.157, respectively (P<0.05). The levels of IL-6, IL-10, IL-2 receptor, IL-8, and tumor necrosis factor-α in dead patients with COVID-19 were higher than those in surviving patients (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that age [odds ratio (OR)=1.034, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.006, 1.063), P=0.016], IL-6 level [OR=1.030, 95%CI (1.006, 1.055), P=0.015], IL-10 level [OR=1.088, 95%CI (1.003, 1.179), P=0.042] and IL-2 receptor level [OR=1.003, 95%CI (1.001, 1.005), P=0.001] were independent risk factors for common COVID-19 to become severe or critical. Conclusion The levels of cytokines in COVID-19 patients are closely related to the severity and prognosis of the disease.
ObjectiveTo characterize surgical outcomes of supra-cardiac total anomalous pulmonary venous connection (TAPVC), investigate risk factors for postoperative death, and explore informed LASSO machine learning methods to solve "small sample size problem" in research of rare congenital heart diseases.MethodsA retrospective analysis of 241 patients with supra-cardiac TAPVC who underwent surgical repair in Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital from 2009 to 2019 was conducted, including 179 males and 62 females with a median surgical age of 71 (33, 232) d.Detailed clinical data of the postoperative death-related factors were extracted. Univariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to initially screen potential risk factors for postoperative death. Factors with P≤0.05 were retained. To solve the limitation of small sample size and the "P>n" problem, we proposed a novel LASSO method for conducting multivariable Cox regression analysis that was capable of bringing in findings of related studies to improve analysis power and to reduce false-negative findings.ResultsUnivariable Cox analyses showed several potential clinical risk factors, among which highly significant factors (P<0.001) included: surgical weight≤2.5 kg (HR=16.00), main pulmonary artery diameter (HR=0.78), prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time (HR=1.21), aortic block time (HR=1.28), and postoperative ventilator-assisted time (HR=1.13/d). LASSO multivariable analysis revealed that independent risk factors for postoperative death included cardiopulmonary bypass time (aHR=1.308/30 min), age (aHR=0.898), postoperative ventilator-assisted time (aHR=1.023/d), weight≤2.5 kg (aHR=2.545), right vertical venous return (aHR=1.977), preoperative pulmonary venous obstruction (aHR=1.633) and emergency surgery (aHR=1.383).ConclusionOur proposed informed LASSO method can use previous studies' results to improve the power of analysis and effectively solve the "P>n" and small sample size limitation. Cardiopulmonary bypass time, surgical age, postoperative ventilator-assisted time, weight, right vertical venous return, preoperative pulmonary venous obstruction, and emergency surgery are risk factors for postoperative death of supra-cardiac TAPVC.