【Abstract】ObjectiveTo compare the reliability of acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) and APACHE Ⅲ to estimate mortality of critical patients in abdominal surgery. MethodsTwo hundred and sixtyone critical patients in abdominal surgery were included in this study. The clinical data of the first day in ICU were collected and evaluated with both APACHE Ⅱand APACHE Ⅲ prognostic systems and statistical analysis were performed. Probability of survival (Ps) was compared with actual mortality. ResultsThe scores of APACHE Ⅱ and APACHE Ⅲ of death group were significantly higher than those of survival group respectively (P＜0.01). The actual mortality of patients whose Ps was no more than 0.5 was higher than that whose Ps was over 0.5 (P＜0.01). With two prognostic systems, the scores and mortality were the highest in pancreatitis patients and the lowest in patients with gastrointestinal malignant tumor. ConclusionAPACHE Ⅱ and APACHE Ⅲ prognostic systems can be effectively applied to the estimation of mortality of critical patients in abdominal surgery. For certain diagnostic categories, APACHE Ⅲ is better than APACHE Ⅱprognostic system.
Objective To evaluate the predicted value of APACHEⅡ score at admission for deep fungal infection（DFI） in patients with severe acute pancreatitis （SAP）.Methods The clinical data of 132 patients with SAP from January 2006 to June 2011 in our hospital were analyzed retrospectively. The receiver operating characteristic curve （ROC） was used for evaluating the predicted value.Results Thirty-nine patients with SAP infected DFI （29.5%）,of which 36 patients （92.3%） infected with Candida albicans,2 patients （5.1%） with Candida tropicalis,1 patient （2.6%） with pearl bacteria.And,among these 39 patients,27 patients （69.2%） infected at single site,12 patients （30.8%） infected at multi-site. The APACHEⅡ score in 39 patients with DFI was higher than that of 93 patients without DFI （17.1±3.8 versus 9.7±2.1, t=14.316,P=0.000）.The ROC for APACHEⅡ score predicting DFI was 0.745（P=0.000）, 95%CI was 0.641－0.849.When the cut off point was 15,it showed the best forecast performance,with specificity 0.81, sensitivity 0.72,Youden index 0.53. Conclusions The APACHEⅡ score at admission can preferably predict DFI in patients with SAP； when the APACHEⅡ score is greater than 15,it prompts highly possible of DFI,so preventive anti-fungal treatment may be necessary.
Objective To analyze the predictive value of von Willebrand factor (vWF) and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ) score on severity and prognosis of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Methods The ARDS patients who were admitted between January 2010 and May 2012 were recruited in the study. APACHEⅡ score and plasma vWF were detected on the first day and the third day after diagnose of ARDS. The patients were divided intoasurvival group andadeath group according the prognosis. The predictive value of vWF and APACHEⅡ score on prognosis were analyzed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Lung injury score was calculated and its relationship with vWF and APACHEⅡ score were analyzed. Results One-hundred and twelve cases of ARDS were enrolled. There were no significant differences between the survival group and the death group in sex, age, respiration rate, blood pressure, white blood cells, procalcitonin or C-reactive protein (P > 0.05). On the first day after diagnosis of ARDS, the APACHEⅡ score and vWF level of the survival group were significantly lower than those in the death group (P < 0.05). On the third day, the APACHEⅡ score was increased but vWF level declined compared with those on the first day (P < 0.05). On the first day, lung injury score of the survival group was 1.7±0.4, significantly lower than that in the death group (2.5±0.6). On the third day, lung injury score in the survival group decreased, while lung injury score of the death group was significantly increased (P < 0.05). On the first day, vWF and APACHEⅡ score were positively correlated with lung injury score (r=0.75, P < 0.05; r=0.79, P < 0.05), respectively. On the first day, the area under the ROC curve of APACHEⅡ score and vWF were 0.87 and 0.91, respectively (P < 0.05). Conclusion APACHEⅡ score and vWF have high diagnostic value in evaluating the degree of lung injury and predicting the prognosis of patients with ARDS.
ObjectiveTo investigate acute physiologic and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ) score system for severity evaluation and prognosis prediction of patients undergoing cardiac surgery. MethodsA total of 3 566 patients who were admitted in ICU after cardiac surgery in the Department of Cardiovascular Surgery of General Hospital of Shenyang Military between December 1, 2011 and August 31, 2013 were enrolled in this study. There were 1 873 males and 1 693 females with their average age of 45.8±23.7 years (range, 10 days to 82 years). All the patients were evaluated with APACHE Ⅱ and expected mortality was calculated. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve was drawn to compare expected and actual mortality and evaluate predictive value of APACHE Ⅱ. ResultsA total of 3 373 patients survived the operation, and 193 patients died postoperatively with the mortality of 5.41%. The area under the ROC curve was 0.917 (P=0.000) with 95% confidence interval of[0.885,0.949]. The cut-off point of APACHE Ⅱ was 15.50, with a sensitivity of 80.3%,a specificity of 95.6%,an accuracy rate of 79.5%,a positive predictive value of 86.9%,and a negative predictive value of 93.1%. Expected and actual mortality increased with increasing APACHE Ⅱ,which were both positively correlated. ConclusionAPACHE Ⅱ score system can be used to evaluate severity and predict prognosis of patients undergoing cardiac surgery, which provides reference for rational utilization of ICU resource.
ObjectivesTo compare the efficacy of acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ (APACHEⅡ), national early warning score (NEWS), pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) on pulmonary embolism (PE) prognosis.MethodsClinical data of patients with PE treated in The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from 2010 to 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. They were divided into death group and survival group, and four clinical scores were calculated. The differences of risk factors between the two groups were compared. Logistic regression analysis was used to obtain the independent risk factors related to mortality. The ROC working curve was used to compare the capability of four clinical scores for PE mortality. SPSS 24.0 and Medcalc 18.2.1 software were used for statistical analysis. ResultsA total of 318 patients with PE were included, and the mortality rate was 13.2%. The APACHEⅡ, NEWS, PESI and CCI of the death group were higher than those of the survival group. There were significant differences between two groups (P<0.05). It was confirmed by logistic regression analysis that cerebrovascular disease, heart rate, leukocyte, troponin T, arterial partial pressure of oxygen, right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality. The areas under the ROC curve of APACHEⅡ, CCI, PESI, NEWS were 0.886, 0.728, 0.715 and 0.731, respectively. The area under the ROC curve of APACHEⅡ was the largest, which was better than NEWS, CCI and PESI (P<0.05), and there was no significant difference among NEWS, CCI and PESI.ConclusionsAPACHEⅡ may be the best predictor of mortality in PE patients, which is superior to NEWS, CCI and PESI.