Objective To evaluate the prognostic values of CURB-65 score and inflammatory factors in hospitalized patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Methods A retrospective study was conducted in hospitalized adult CAP patients in West China Hospital between January 1st, and December 31th, 2013. Data of CURB-65 score and serum levels of inflammatory factors (WBC, ESR, PCT, CRP, IL-6 and ALB) on admission and clinical outcomes were collected. The associations between CURB-65 score, inflammatory factors and clinical outcomes were examined. Logistic regression analysis was performed to develop combined models to predict in-hospital death of CAP patients, and ROC analysis was conducted to measure and compare the prognostic values of CURB-65 score, inflammatory factors or combined models. Results A total of 505 hospitalized CAP patients were included. 81 patients died during the hospitalization and the in-hospital mortality rate was 16.0%. Possible risk factors of in-hospital death included old age, male sex, hypertension, cardiovascular or cerebrovascular diseases, multi-lobular pneumonic infiltration, high risk scores, ICU admission, mechanical ventilation and severe pneumonia (all P values<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that CURB-65 score, ALB and IL-6 were the independent factors in predicting in-hospital death of CAP patients and the area under curve (AUC) of them while predicting in-hospital death were 0.75 (95%CI 0.69 to 0.81), 0.75 (95%CI 0.69 to 0.81) and 0.75 (95%CI 0.69 to 0.80), respectively. ROC analysis found that ALB and IL-6 could improve the AUC of CURB-65 score significantly while predicting the in-hospital death (P<0.05). When ALB and IL-6 were added to the CURB-65 score simultaneously, the AUC was improved to 0.84 (95%CI 0.80 to 0.87). When IL-6 or ALB was added to the CURB-65 score to form a new scale, the AUC of the new scale was significantly higher than that of the CURB-65 score in predicting in-hospital death (P<0.001). Conclusion The prognostic values of CURB-65 score and inflammatory factors may be not ideal when they are used alone in hospitalized CAP patients. IL-6 and ALB may significantly improve the prognostic value of CURB-65 score in predicting in-hospital death.
ObjectiveTo compare the value of CURB-65 score and expanded CURB-65 score in evaluating prognosis of pneumonia in non-HIV infected patient and HIV infected patient.MethodsThe study included 206 hospitalized pneumonia patients without HIV infection and 299 pneumonia patients with HIV infection. According to their clinical prognosis within 4 weeks of treatment, they were divided into a deterioration group and an improvement group. The basic situation and the differences of clinical indicators between the two groups were compared. The predictive value of CURB-65 score and expanded CURB-65 score for clinical prognosis of pneumonia in non-HIV infected patients and HIV infected patients was compared by using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve.ResultsFor the pneumonia patients without HIV infection, the area under ROC curve (AUC) of CURB-65 score and expanded CURB-65 score were 0.862 and 0.848, respectively. There was no significant difference in AUC between CURB-65 score and expanded CURB-65 score (Z=0.661, P=0.5084). The Youden indexes of CURB-65 score and expanded CURB-65 score were 60.11% and 54.92%, respectively. For the pneumonia patients with HIV infection, the AUC of CURB-65 score and expanded CURB-65 score were 0.588 and 0.634, respectively. There was no significant difference between them (Z=1.416, P=0.1567). The Youden index of the two scores was 19.53% and 20.52%, respectively.ConclusionsThe CURB-65 score and expanded CURB-65 score can effectively evaluate the clinical prognosis of pneumonia in non-HIV infected patients, but their predicted values are limited in evaluating the prognosis of pneumonia in HIV infected patients.
ObjectiveTo compare the predictive value of the BAP-65 score, the DECAF score, the CURB-65 score, and the Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) on short-term mortality and adverse outcomes in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). MethodsThis study enrolled patients hospitalized for AECOPD and CAP from ten hospitals in China from September 2017 to July 2021. All-cause mortality within 30 days was investigated. Patients were divided into the death and the survival groups according to their survival status. The differences in basic conditions, complications, symptoms, signs and auxiliary examination results between the two groups were compared, and the independent risk factors of all-cause mortality were analyzed. The included patients were scored and graded according to the 4 scales, respectively, and the validity of the four scales in predicting short-term mortality and adverse outcomes was compared based on the receiver operating charateristic (ROC) curve analysis. ResultsA total of 3375 patients including 2545 males and 830 females with a mean age of (73.66 ±10.73) years were enrolled in this study. Within 30 days, 129 (3.82%) patients died and 614 (18.19%) patients had an adverse outcome (including all-cause death, invasive mechanical ventilation and admission into intensive care unit). Altered state of consciousness, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, chronic pulmonary heart disease, age, pulse rate, serum albumin, diastolic blood pressure, and pH value were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in AECOPD patients with CAP. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the CURB-65 score, BAP-65 score, DECAF score, and PSI score for predicting all-cause mortality were 0.780, 0.782, 0.614, and 0.816, and these AUCs for predicting adverse outcomes were 0.694, 0.687, 0.564 and 0.705, respectively. PSI score had the best predictive efficacy for all-cause mortality and adverse outcomes, and the DECAF score had the worst predictive efficacy. ConclusionsAECOPD patients with CAP have a relatively high incidence of all-cause mortality and adverse outcomes within 30 days. Altered state of consciousness, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, chronic pulmonary heart disease, age, pulse rate, serum albumin, diastolic blood pressure, and pH value are independent risk factors for 30-day mortality. PSI score has the best performance in predicting all-cause mortality and adverse outcomes, while the DECAF score has the worst performance.