Abstract： Objective To evaluate prediction validation of Sino System for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation （SinoSCORE） on in-hospital mortality in adult heart surgery patients in West China Hospital.?Methods?We included clinical records of 2 088 consecutive adult patients undergoing heart surgery in West China Hospital from January 2010 to May 2012, who were also included in Chinese Adult Cardiac Surgical Registry.We compared the difference of preoperative risk factors for the patients between Chinese Adult Cardiac Surgical Registry and West China Hospital. SinoSCORE was used to predict in-hospital mortality of each patient and to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of SinoSCORE for the patients.?Results?Among the 2 088 patients in West China Hospital, there were 168 patients （8.05%） undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting （CABG）, 1 884 patients （90.23%） undergoing heart valve surgery, and 36 patients （1.72%） undergoing other surgical procedures. There was statistical difference in the risk factors including hyperlipemia, stroke, cardiovascular surgery history, and kidney disease between the two units.The observed in-hospital mortality was 2.25% （47/2 088）. The predicted in-hospital mortality calculated by SinoSCORE was 2.35% （49/2 088） with 95% confidence interval 2.18 to 2.47. SinoSCORE was able to predict in-hospital mortality of the patients with good discrimination （Hosmer Lemeshow test: χ2=3.164, P=0.582） and calibration （area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.751 with 95% confidence interval 0.719 to 0.924）. Conclusion SinoSCORE is an accurate predictor in predicting in-hospital mortality in adult heart surgery patients who are mainly from southwest China
ObjectiveTo explore the clinical application value of antithrombin Ⅲ (ATⅢ) in pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE).MethodsA retrospective study included 204 patients with confirmed PTE who were admitted to Fujian Provincial Hospital from May 2012 to June 2019. The clinical data of the study included basic conditions, morbilities, laboratory examinations and scoring system within 24 hours after admission. The relationship between ATⅢ and PTE in-hospital death was analyzed, and the value of ATⅢ to optimize risk stratification was explored.ResultsFor ATⅢ, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.719, with a cut-off value of 77.7% (sensitivity 64.71%, specificity 80.21%). The patients were divided into ATⅢ≤77.7% group (n=48) and ATⅢ>77.7% group (n=156) according to the cut-off value, and significant statistically differences were found in chronic heart failure, white blood cells count, platelets count, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), albumin and troponin I (P<0.05). According to the in-hospital mortality, patients were divided into a death group (n=17) and a survival group (n=187), and the differences in count of white blood cells, ATⅢ, D-dimer, ALT, albumin, estimated glomerular filtration rate and APACHEⅡ were statistically significant. Logistic regression analysis revealed that ATⅢ≤77.7% and white blood cells count were independent risk factors for in-hospital death. The risk stratification and the risk stratification combined ATⅢ to predict in-hospital death were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve, and the AUC was 0.705 and 0.813, respectively (P<0.05). A new scoring model of risk stratification combined with ATⅢ was showed by nomogram.ConclusionsATⅢ≤77.7% is an independent risk factor for in-hospital death, and is beneficial to optimize risk stratification. The mechanism may be related to thrombosis, right ventricular dysfunction and inflammatory response.
ObjectiveTo explore the association between frailty and in-hospital mortality in older patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Methods Elderly patients who were hospitalized with AECOPD from June 2022 to December 2022 at a large tertiary hospital were selected. The independent prognostic factors including frailty status were determined by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Mediation effect analysis was used to evaluate the mediating relationships between C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin and in-hospital death. ResultsThe training set included 1 356 patients (aged 86.7±6.6), 25.0% of whom were diagnosed with frailty. The multiple logistic regression analysis showed that frailty, mean arterial pressure, Charlson comorbidity index, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio, interleukin-6, CRP, albumin, and troponin T were associated with in-hospital mortality. Furthermore, CRP and albumin mediated the associations between frailty and in-hospital mortality. ConclusionFrailty may be an adverse prognostic factor for older patients admitted with an AECOPD. CRP and albumin may be parts of mechanism between frailty and in-hospital death.