ObjectiveTo systematically review the incidence and influencing factors of early enteral nutritional feeding interruptions in critically ill patients. MethodsThe PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, CNKI, WanFang Data and CBM databases were electronically searched to collect observational studies on the early enteral nutritional feeding interruptions in critically ill patients from inception to January 2, 2024. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies. Meta-analysis was then performed by using Stata 17.0 software. ResultsA total of 12 studies including 1 121 patients were included. Meta-analysis showed that the incidence of early enteral nutritional feeding interruptions in critically ill patients was 75.0% (95%CI 64.0% to 84.0%). Influenced by feeding intolerance, airway management, tube problems, radiological examination, and endoscopy, surgery and so on, interruptions of early enteral nutritional feeding frequently occur in critically ill patients. ConclusionCurrent evidence shows that early enteral feeding interruptions in critically ill patients are affected by many factors, and the incidence is high. Due to the limited quality and quantity of the included studies, more high-quality studies are needed to verify the above conclusion.
Objective To analyze the trends and influencing factors of rheumatoid arthritis disease burden in mainland China from 1990 to 2021 and predict its disease burden over the next 15 years. MethodsData on RA incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in mainland China were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021). Joinpoint regression was used to analyze temporal trends, while an age-period-cohort model assessed age, period, and birth cohort effects. Decomposition analysis explored the contributions of population aging, population growth, and epidemiological changes. An ARIMA model was applied to predict future disease burden. ResultsFrom 1990 to 2021, the number of RA cases in mainland China increased by 93.5% (incidence), 133% (prevalence), 115% (deaths), and 107% (DALYs), though age-standardized rates showed smaller changes. The disease burden was significantly higher in women than in men, with sex-specific peaks in onset and prevalence. Joinpoint regression revealed rising age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates (AAPC=0.54% and 0.51%, respectively) but declining mortality (AAPC=−0.78%). Cohort effects indicated higher RA risk in later-born populations (RR=1.53 for the 2012 cohort). Decomposition analysis identified population growth as the primary driver of increased burden. Projections suggested that by 2036, the age-standardized incidence and prevalence would rise to 13.92/100 000 and 248.84/100 000, respectively, while DALYs rates might decline to 42.09/100 000. ConclusionThe RA disease burden in mainland China is driven by both population aging and epidemiological factors, with notable sex disparities and cohort effects. Targeted interventions for high-risk populations, optimized healthcare resource allocation, and further research on influencing factors are needed to develop precise prevention and control strategies.
Objective To systematically review the relationship between obesity and the incidence of digestive system cancers. Methods The PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, CNKI and WanFang Data databases were electronically searched to collect cohort studies on the relationship between obesity and digestive system cancers from January 1st, 2001 to October 31st, 2021. Two reviewers independently screened the literature, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies. Meta-analysis was then performed by using RevMan 5.4 software. Results A total of 16 cohort studies were included. The results of meta-analysis revealed that compared with normal weight, obesity increased the incidence rate of various cancers of the digestive system, including colorectal cancer (RR=1.25, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.39, P<0.000 1), liver cancer (RR=1.65, 95%CI 1.41 to 1.92, P<0.000 01), pancreatic cancer (RR=1.34, 95%CI 1.19 to 1.51, P<0.000 01), gastric cancer (RR=1.09, 95%CI 1.05 to 1.14, P<0.000 1), and esophageal cancer (RR=2.39, 95%CI 1.98 to 2.89, P<0.000 01). Conclusion The current evidence indicates that obesity can increase the incidence rate of digestive system cancers. Due to the limited quality and quantity of the included studies, more high-quality studies are needed to verify the above conclusion.
ObjectiveTo analyze the changing trends in disease burden of femoral fractures in China from 1990 to 2021, evaluate the impacts of age, period, and cohort effects, and project the age-standardized prevalence rate and age-standardized incidence rates of femoral fractures from 2022 to 2036. MethodsUtilizing open data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, this research characterized the disease burden of femoral fractures in China between 1990 and 2021, including trends in incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs). Age-standardized rates were calculated, and Joinpoint regression models were employed to estimate annual percentage changes (APC) and average annual percentage changes (AAPC). An age-period-cohort (APC) model was applied to quantify the effects of age, period, and birth cohort on disease burden. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was further utilized to project age-standardized prevalence rates and age-standardized incidence rates from 2022 to 2036, with stratified analyses by age, sex, and time period. ResultsFrom 1990 to 2021, age-standardized prevalence (AAPC=0.138 5%), incidence (AAPC=0.294 2%), and YLD rates (AAPC=0.128 3%) exhibited sustained upward trends. Unintentional injuries constituted the predominant etiology of femoral fractures, followed by transport accidents and interpersonal violence/self-harm. In 2021, disease burden escalated with advancing age, with females over 60 years demonstrating significantly higher burdens than males. Age effect coefficients showed a monotonic increase, period effects displayed a U-shaped trajectory (decline followed by rebound), and cohort effects exhibited an inverted U-shaped pattern (rise then decline). Projections indicated continued growth in age-standardized prevalence rates and age-standardized incidence rates through 2036. ConclusionAs the population aging intensifies in China, the disease burden of femoral fractures in our country remains extremely severe. Among them, the elderly female group has become the key focus for prevention and control due to the high prevalence of osteoporosis.
ObjectiveThis study aimed to analyze the disease burden of pancreatitis in China from 1990 to 2019 and to provide references for the prevention and treatment of pancreatitis. MethodsThe data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). The incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs) and their corresponding age-standardized rate, and annual average percentage change (AAPC) were selected as the main indicators to compare the burden of pancreatitis in China, the United States and globally from 1990 to 2019. ResultsIn 2019, the age-standardized incidence, mortality, DALY, YLL, and YLD rates in China were 26.76/100 000, 0.59/100 000, 16.09/100 000, 14.61/100 000, and 1.48/100 000, respectively, and decreased by 8.94%, 45.33%, 49.12%, 50.98%, and 18.49%, respectively, compared with those in 1990. The burden of pancreatitis in China gradually increased with age, but was lower than that in the United States and globally. The DALY due to alcohol continually increased in China, the United States, and globally. ConclusionFrom 1990 to 2019, the burden of pancreatitis in China shows a decreasing trend and is lower than that in the United States and globally. However, the disease burden caused by alcohol and aging is increasing; therefore, effective measurements to alleviate the burden of pancreatitis in China are needed.
ObjectiveThis study aims to analyze the trends in Parkinson’s disease incidence rates among the elderly population in China from 1990 to 2021 and to forecast incidence growth over the next 20 years, providing. MethodsJoinpoint regression and age-period-cohort models were employed to analyze temporal trends in Parkinson’s disease incidence, and the Nordpred model was used to predict case numbers and incidence rates among the elderly in China from 2022 to 2044. ResultsFindings indicated a significant increase in Parkinson’s disease incidence among China’s elderly population from 1990 to 2021, with crude and age-standardized incidence rates rising from 95.37 per 100 000 and 111.05 per 100 000 to 170.52 per 100 000 and 183.91 per 100 000, respectively. Predictions suggested that by 2044, the number of cases will rise to approximately 878 264, with the age-standardized incidence rate reaching 223.4 per 100 000, and men showing significantly higher incidence rates than women. The rapid increase in both cases and incidence rates indicated that Parkinson’s disease will continue to impose a heavy disease burden on China’s elderly population. ConclusionThe burden of Parkinson’s disease in China’s elderly population has grown significantly and is expected to worsen. To address the rising incidence rates effectively, it is recommended to enhance early screening and health education for high-risk groups, improve diagnostic and treatment protocols, and prioritize resource allocation to Parkinson’s disease prevention and care services to reduce future public health burdens.
Objective To analyze the epidemic trend of prostate cancer in China from 1992 to 2021, and predict its epidemic trends from 2022 to 2032. Methods Based on the data of Chinese population and prostate cancer incidence and mortality from Global Burden of Disease Database, the Joinpoint log-linear model was used to analyze the trends of prostate cancer incidence and mortality, use the age-period-cohort model to analyze the effects of age, period and cohort on changes in incidence and mortality, and the gray prediction model was used to predict the trends of prostate cancer. Results From 1992 to 2021, the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in China showed an upward trend, with AAPC of 5.652% (P<0.001) and 3.466% (P<0.001), and the AAPC of age-standardized incidence decreased to 1.990% (P<0.001), the age-standardized mortality showed a downward trend and was not statistically significant. The results of the age-period-cohort model showed that the net drift values of prostate cancer incidence and mortality were 3.03% and −1.06%, respectively, and the risk of incidence and mortality gradually increased with age and period. The results of the grey prediction model showed that the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer showed an upward trend from 2022 to 2032, and the incidence trend was more obvious. Conclusion The incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in China showed an increasing trend, with a heavy disease burden and severe forms of prevention and control, so it is necessary to do a good job in monitoring the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer, and strengthen the efficient screening, early diagnosis and treatment of prostate cancer.
ObjectiveTo analyze the prevalence of muscle and tendon injuries in Chinese from 2005 to 2019. MethodsUsing Joinpoint regression model and age-time-cohort model, the average annual percent change (AAPC) was used to analyze the incidence of muscle and tendon injury in Chinese from 2005 to 2019. The influence of age, period and birth cohort on the incidence of muscle and tendon injury was analyzed by sex. ResultsFrom 2005 to 2019, the incidence of muscle and tendon injury in Chinese residents increased (AAPC=2.0%, P<0.05), and the AAPC of females was higher than that of males (AAPC values were 2.1% and 1.9%, respectively, P<0.05). The results of age-time-cohort model showed that the age effect, period effect and cohort effect coefficient were statistically significant. The age effect and cohort effect coefficient fluctuated, and the period effect coefficient increased continuously. The period effect is dominant in three effects. ConclusionThe incidence of muscle and tendon injuries in Chinese residents has increased rapidly. Children aged 5 to 9, people aged 20 to 29 and elderly women aged 85 to 94 are the key groups.
Objective To estimate the incidence of post-myocardial infarction depression among Chinese acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients by meta-analysis and to provide references for the management of AMI patients. Methods We searched databases including PubMed, The Cochrane Library (Issue 6, 2016), CNKI, CBM, WanFang Data and VIP from January 2000 to July 2016, to collect literature regarding the incidence of post-myocardial infarction depression among patients with AMI. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and evaluated the methodological quality of the included studies. Then meta-analysis was performed by using Comprehensive Meta Analysis (CMA) 2.0 software. Results Totally, 22 cross-sectional studies were included, involving 2 986 AMI patients, of which1 239 were post-myocardial infarction depression patients. The overall incidence of post-myocardial infarction depression among the AMI patients was 42.7% (95%CI 36.3% to 49.4%). There was no statistical differences observed when the studies were stratified by sex, regions, scales and years (allP values>0.05). Conclusion In China, the incidence of post-myocardial infarction depression is high and rising year by year roughly among AMI patients. The status should be paid more attention.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the characteristics of adverse transfusion reaction in Grade Three Class-A hospitals in China, and to provide scientific evidence for related control and prevention work. MethodsSuch databases as the PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library (Issue 11, 2014), CNKI, VIP, WanFang Data and CBM were searched for studies investigating the characteristics of adverse transfusion reaction with ≥6 months observation time in Grade Three Class-A hospitals in China up to November 2014. Two reviewers independently screened literature according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, extracted data and assessed the methodological quality of included studies. Then, meta-analysis was performed by using the R 3.1.1 software. ResultsSeventy-two studies involving 1 660 472 cases of blood transfusion were included. The results of pooled analysis showed that the total number of adverse transfusion reaction rate was 0.58% (95%CI 0.48 to 0.69). Sub-group analysis shows that the blood transfusion adverse reaction rates in the eastern, central and western regions were 0.42% (95%CI 0.31 to 0.55), 0.55% (95%CI 0.41 to 0.70), 0.56% (95%CI 0.43 to 0.70), respectively; and there were statistical differences between regions (P<0.05). Different types of adverse transfusion reaction rates were 38.85% (95%CI 34.27 to 43.53) for non hemolytic febrile reaction and 55.67% (95%CI 50.79 to 60.50) for allergic. The adverse reactions incidence of different kinds of blood products transfusion occurred were 0.41% (95%CI 0.32 to 0.50) in red blood cell, 0.57% (95%CI 0.43 to 0.72) in plasma, 1.00% (95%CI 0.73 to 1.30) in platelet. The incidence of adverse reaction of platelet transfusion was significantly higher than that of red blood cell and plasma (P<0.05). ConclusionThere is a big gap between domestic and foreign blood transfusion adverse reaction reports, therefore comprehensive measures should be taken for further prevention and control.