The rapid advancement of causal inference is driving a paradigm shift across various disciplines. "Target trial emulation" has emerged as an exceptionally promising framework for observational real-world studies, attracting substantial attention from medical scholars and regulatory agencies worldwide. This article aims to provide an introduction to CERBOT, an online tool that assists in implementing target trial emulation studies, while highlighting the advancements in this domain. Additionally, the article provides an illustrative example to elucidate the operational process of CERBOT. The objectives are to support domestic researchers in conducting target trial emulation studies and enhance the quality of real-world studies in the domestic medical field, as well as improve the medical service level in clinical practice.
Randomized controlled trials are considered as the gold standard for determining the causality, and are usually used to evaluate the efficacy and safety of medical interventions. However, in some cases it is not feasible to conduct a randomized controlled trial. In recent years, a framework called “target trial emulation study” has been formally established to guide the design and analysis of observational studies based on real-world data. This framework provides an effective method for causal inference based on observational studies. In order to facilitate domestic scholars to understand and apply the framework to solve related clinical problems, this article introduces it from the basic concept, framework structure and implementation steps, development status, and prospects.
ObjectiveTo investigate whether there is a causal relationship between the intake of milk or coffee and the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). MethodsUsing a two-sample Mendelian randomization approach, single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with milk or coffee intake were used as instrumental variables, and genome-wide association study data on NAFLD were used as the outcome event. Inverse-variance weighted (IVW) and MR-Egger methods were employed to investigate the causal effect of milk or coffee intake on the risk of NAFLD. ResultsBoth analyses indicated no causal association between milk or coffee intake and the risk of NAFLD (P>0.05). Sensitivity analysis indicated the robustness of the main findings, with no outliers, heterogeneity, horizontal pleiotropy, or significant influence of individual SNPs. ConclusionThis study does not support a causal relationship between the intake of milk or coffee and the risk of NAFLD.
In recent years, the number of randomized controlled trials using cohorts and routinely collected data (e.g., electronic health records, administrative databases, and health registries) has increased. Such trials can ease the challenges of conducting research and save cost and time. Accordingly, to standardize such trials and increase the transparency and completeness of research reports, an international panel of experts developed the CONSORT-ROUTINE (2021) reporting guideline. The reporting guideline was published in 2021 in the BMJ. To help understand and formally apply the reporting guideline and improve the overall quality of this type of study, the present paper introduced and interpreted the development process and reporting checklist of the CONSORT-ROUTINE.
Statistical graph is an indispensable part of scientific papers. It is helpful to promote the communication, dissemination, and application of academic achievements by presenting research results intuitively and accurately through standardized and beautiful visual graphs. The safety of a medical intervention is the basic premise of its clinical application, and randomized controlled trial (RCT) as an important design to determine the efficacy and safety of medical interventions, it is extremely important to accurately present the information on the safety outcomes of interventions found therein. However, the research found that the reports of RCTs didn’t adequately use visual graphs to present harms data. In order to promote clinical researchers to better use visual graphs to present harms data, international scholars recently published a consensus study in BMJ, which identified and recommended 10 statistical graphs for presenting harms data in RCTs. In order to facilitate domestic scholars to understand and apply the consensus, this article interprets the consensus and recommendations, and it is expected to provide help for improving the quality of harms visualization in domestic papers of RCTs.
In response to the need for health economics modelers to apply more appropriate complex systems models to address complex challenges in public health, an international team of more than 40 experts in the field of complex systems models and economic evaluation has developed and recently published a guideline on the application of complex systems models to the economic evaluation of public health interventions. This paper introduces the development process and main content of the guidelines, which can provide references to facilitate the application of the guidelines by domestic researchers, aiming to ultimately improve the overall quality of public health research and services and improve the health of the population in China.