Objective To investigate the 30-day mortality risk factors in elderly patients (≥70 years) with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and to construct a nomogram for predicting mortality risk. Methods A retrospective analysis of elderly HFrEF patients undergoing isolated CABG at Tianjin Chest Hospital from 2010 to 2024. Simple random sampling in R was used to divide the dataset into training and validation sets in a 7 : 3 ratio. The training set was further divided into survivors and non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression was performed to identify differences between groups, followed by multivariate logistic stepwise regression to select independent risk factors for death and to establish a death-risk nomogram, which underwent internal validation. The predictive value of the nomogram was assessed by plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision-curve analyses for both the training and validation sets. ResultsA total of 656 patients were included. The training set consisted of 458 patients (survivors 418, deaths 40); the validation set consisted of 198 patients (survivors 180, deaths 18). In the training cohort, univariate analysis showed significant differences between survivors and deaths for creatinine (Cr) level, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), maximum Cr, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use, assisted ventilation, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, low cardiac output syndrome, and renal failure (P<0.05). After multivariable logistic regression with stepwise selection, five independent risk factors were identified: IABP use (OR=3.391, 95%CI 1.065–11.044, P=0.038), reintubation (OR=15.991, 95%CI 4.269–67.394, P<0.001), hyperlactatemia (OR=8.171, 95%CI 2.057–46.089, P=0.007), Cr (OR=4.330, 95%CI 0.997–6.022, P=0.024), and BNP (OR=1.603, 95%CI 1.000–2.000, P=0.010). Accordingly, a nomogram predicting mortality risk was constructed. The ROC and calibration analyses indicated good predictive value: training set AUC was 0.898 (95%CI 0.831–0.966); validation set AUC 0.912 (95%CI 0.805–1.000). Calibration and decision-curve analyses showed good agreement and clinical utility. Conclusion The nomogram incorporating IABP use, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, creatinine, and BNP provides good predictive value for 30-day mortality after CABG in elderly patients with HFrEF and demonstrates potential clinical utility.
Objective To analyze the risk factors of treatment failure by noninvasive positive pressure ventilation (NPPV) in patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF) due to acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), and explore the best time that NPPV be replaced by invasive ventilation when NPPV failure occurs. Methods The data of patients with ARF due to AECOPD who were treated with NPPV from January 2013 to December 2015 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into two groups: the NPPV success group and the NPPV failure group (individuals who required endotracheal intubation or tracheotomy at any time). The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ score was analyzed; the Glasgow Coma Scale score, respiratory rate (RR), pH value, partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2), PaO2/fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) ratio, and partial pressure of carbon dioxide were also analyzed at admission, after 2 hours of NPPV, and after 24 hours of NPPV. Results A total of 185 patients with ARF due to AECOPD were included. NPPV failed in 35.1% of the patients (65/185). Multivariate analysis identified the following factors to be independently associated with NPPV failure: APACHEⅡscore≥30 [odds ratio (OR)=20.603, 95% confidence interval (CI) (5.309, 80.525), P<0.001], RR at admission≥35 per minute [OR=3.723, 95%CI (1.197, 11.037), P=0.020], pH value after 2 hours of NPPV<7.25 [OR=2.517, 95%CI (0.905, 7.028), P=0.070], PaO2 after 2 hours of NPPV<60 mm Hg (1 mm Hg=0.133 kPa) [OR=3.915, 95%CI (1.374, 11.508), P=0.010], and PaO2/FiO2 after 2 hours of NPPV<200 mm Hg [OR=4.024, 95%CI (1.542, 11.004), P=0.010]. Conclusion When patients with ARF due to AECOPD have a higher severity score, have a rapid RR at admission, or fail to improve in terms of pH and oxygenation after 2 hours of NPPV, the risk of NPPV failure is higher.
Objective To systematically evaluate the prognostic prediction model for chronic heart failure patients in China, and provide reference for the construction, application, and promotion of related prognostic prediction models. Methods A comprehensive search was conducted on the studies related to prognostic prediction model for Chinese patients with chronic heart failure published in The Cochrane Library, PubMed, EMbase, Web of Science, CNKI, VIP, Wanfang, and the China Biological Medicine databases from inception to March 31, 2023. Two researchers strictly followed the inclusion and exclusion criteria to independently screen literature and extract data, and used the prediction model risk of bias assessment tool (PROBAST) to evaluate the quality of the models. Results A total of 25 studies were enrolled, including 123 prognostic prediction models for chronic heart failure patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the models ranged from 0.690 to 0.959. Twenty-two studies mostly used random splitting and Bootstrap for internal model validation, with an AUC range of 0.620-0.932. Seven studies conducted external validation of the model, with an AUC range of 0.720-0.874. The overall bias risk of all models was high, and the overall applicability was low. The main predictive factors included in the models were the N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, age, left ventricular ejection fraction, New York Heart Association heart function grading, and body mass index. Conclusion The quality of modeling methodology for predicting the prognosis of chronic heart failure patients in China is poor, and the predictive performance of different models varies greatly. For developed models, external validation and clinical application research should be vigorously carried out. For model development research, it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictive factors related to disease prognosis before modeling. During modeling, large sample and prospective studies should be conducted strictly in accordance with the PROBAST standard, and the research results should be comprehensively reported using multivariate prediction model reporting guidelines to develop high-quality predictive models with strong scalability.
ObjectiveTo investigate the clinical value of peripheral blood vitamin D level in predicting the outcome of weaning from mechanical ventilation in critically ill patients.MethodsA total of 130 critically ill patients who undergoing mechanical ventilation for more than 48 hours in our hospital were recruited from June 2014 to June 2017. Serum 25(OH)D3 was detected on admission and before spontaneous breathing test (SBT) meanwhile general clinical data and laboratory examination indexes were recorded. The cases were divided into a successful weaning group and a failure weaning group according to the outcome of weaning from mechanical ventilation. Logistic regression equation was used to analyze the relationship between vitamin D level and failure weaning, and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value for failure weaning.ResultsThere were 46 patients with failure weaning among 130 patients (35.38%). Compared with the successful weaning group, the failure weaning group had significantly higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health EvaluationⅡ score, longer duration in intensive care unit, higher respiratory rate, higher rapid shallow breathing index, higher C-reactive protein, higher N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide, higher serum creatinine, and significantly lower albumin (all P<0.05). 25(OH)D3 level classifications on admission and before SBT in the failure weaning group were worse than those in the successful weaning group (P<0.05). 25(OH)D3 levels of the failure weaning group were lower than those of the successful weaning group [on admission: (18.16±4.33) ng/ml vs. (21.60±5.25) ng/ml, P<0.05; before SBT: (13.50±3.52) ng/mlvs. (18.61±4.30) ng/ml, P<0.05]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that 25(OH)D3 levels on admission and before SBT were independent risk factors for failure weaning (OR values were 2.257 and 2.613, respectively, both P<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that areas under ROC curve were 0.772 and 0.836, respectively, with sensitivities of 80.3% and 85.2%, specificities of 69.0% and 71.0%, respectively.Conclusions25(OH)D3 deficiency or insufficiency is common in critically ill patients. The lower the level of vitamin D, the higher the risk of failure weaning. So it may be an independent predictor of failure weaning.
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical characteristics, the characteristics of organ dysfunction and death related factors in the natural course of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). MethodsThe data of 302 cases of SAP from January 1999 to June 2007 in our hospital were retrospective analyzed. The APACHEⅡscore, state of each organ, and death related factors were recorded and analyzed according to the admission and on 1, 3, 5, 7, 14, and 28 d after admission, a total of 7 time points. ResultsIn natural course of SAP, the APACHEⅡscore took on a double-peak type distribution, the peaks appearing nearly about one week and two weeks after the onset of SAP. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), hypoxemia, metabolic acidosis, hyperglycemia, and abdominal compartment syndrome were the main causes of early organ failure. Incidence of organ failure and infection increased significantly for patients with intestinal paralysis lasting longer than five days. The most affected organ failure was followed by respiratory organs, peripheral circulation, kidneys, and gastrointestinal tract. The mortality rate increased significantly for patients with organ failure more than 48 hours. Four cases of death (9.5%) caused by severe shock and cardiac arrest within 24 h after admission; 6 deaths (14.3%) led by persistent shock with ARDS or acute renal failure within 24-72 h; 14 cases of death (33.3%) arose from 3-10 d after onset, mainly for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), acute renal failure associated with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS); 18 cases (42.8%) of the death arose on 10 d after the onset, mainly for the MODS caused by intra-abdominal infections, bleeding, pancreatic fistula, and biliary fistula. ConclusionsThe natural course of SAP can be divided into three phases:systemic inflammation, systemic infection, and recovery. Duration of intestinal paralysis is an important factor affecting the natural history of SAP. Early complications in patients with organ failure appeared as SIRS, metabolic acidosis, hyperglycemia, and abdominal hypertension. MODS led by SIRS is the leading cause in early death of SAP; MODS caused by pancreas and peripancreatic tissue infections, abdominal bleeding, pancreatic fistula, and biliary fistula are the main death factor in the late phase. Early recovery of gastrointestinal function can reduce the incidence of MODS.
Objective To systematically review the efficacy and safety of different SGLT2 inhibitors in the treatment of heart failure. Methods The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, PubMed and EMbase databases were searched for randomized controlled trials on the efficacy and safety of SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with heart failure from inception to July 2, 2021. Two researchers independently screened literature, extracted data and evaluated the risk of bias of the included studies. Network meta-analysis was then performed using Stata 16.0 software. Results A total of 16 randomized controlled trials, including 15 312 patients, involving 5 interventions, namely dapagliflozin, empagliflozin, canagliflozin, sotagliflozin and ertugliflozin were included. Results of network meta-analysis showed that there was no significant difference in the compound outcome of hospitalization for heart failure or cardiovascular death, hospitalization for heart failure, all-cause mortality, risk of cardiovascular mortality and serious adverse reactions among patients with heart failure among 5 different SGLT2 inhibitors (P>0.05). Compared with placebo, both selective and non-selective SGLT2 inhibitors improved the risk of hospitalization for heart failure, hospitalization for heart failure, or compound cardiovascular mortality (P<0.05), while only selective SGLT2 inhibitors improved the risk of cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, and serious adverse events (P<0.05). However, there was no significant difference between them (P>0.05). The area under the cumulative ordering probability curve of selective and non-selective SGLT2 inhibitors ranked first and second, except for the combined outcome of heart failure or cardiovascular death. Conclusion The current evidence indicates that there is no significant difference in the efficacy and safety of the 5 different SGLT2 inhibitors in the treatment of heart failure, and there is no significant difference between selective SGLT2 inhibitors and non-selective SGLT2 inhibitors. Due to the limited quantity and quality of included studies, more high-quality studies are needed to verify the above conclusion.
ObjectiveTo summarize the individualized selection of surgical treatment strategies and the key points of perioperative management for patients with heart valve disease complicated with severe chronic heart failure.MethodsThe clinical characteristics of 5 male patients with valvular heart disease complicated with severe chronic heart failure (CHF) were analyzed retrospectively from June 2017 to October 2018 in Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, with an average age of 60.21 years.ResultsFive patients were given angiotensin receptor and neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI)-based anti-heart failure treatment after admission. The operation mode of these patients was decided to be valve replacement under cardiopulmonary bypass after individualized evaluation of patients’ improving symptoms. Three patients were treated with intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) early after operation to assist patients in improving cardiac function. Five patients recovered oral anti-heart failure after awakening. All patients were discharged smoothly 2 weeks after operation.ConclusionIndividualized evaluation is needed for the choice of operation timing and mode, standardized preoperative treatment for heart failure, shortening the aortic blocking time during cardiopulmonary bypass, and early application of left ventricular adjuvant drugs or instruments are all important measures to help patients recover smoothly.
ObjectiveTo introduce the basic principles of commonly used assessment methods for liver function reserve, and compare the advantages and disadvantages of various assessment methods, so as to provide a reference for hepatectomy of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MethodThe literature on evaluation methods of liver reserve function in patients with HCC at home and abroad in recent years was searched and summarized. ResultsFrom the results of literature review, the Child‐Pugh score and indocyanine green discharge test were the most commonly used to assess preoperative liver function reserve for patients with HCC. The application value of other examinations such as albumin-bilirubin score, gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI), nuclear medical imaging in predicting post-hepatectomy liver failure was gradually being explored. ConclusionsThe combination of clinical parameters and volumetric studies is used to assess preoperative liver function reserve for patients with HCC. The clinical applications of nuclear medical imaging and Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI make up for the deficiency of local liver function reserve evaluation, which are important examinations to assess liver function reserve after conversion therapy in the future. However, more domestic studies are still needed to confirm their values.
Percutaneous ventricular assist device (PVAD) is a minimally invasive treatment which can replace the function of the failing heart. It provides circulatory support for patients with severe emergent cardiovascular diseases such as complex coronary artery disease, acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock, and acute decompensated chronic heart failure. PVAD has been developed since the rise of the Hemopump, to the prosperity of the Impella, and increasingly been used as a haemodynamic support to improve prognosis. This article will review the evolution and clinical application of PVAD.
Objective To evaluate the efficacy and safety of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) on the left ventricular texture parameters, blood kinetics parameters, degree of cardiac function and rate of side effects of patients with heart failure when compared to angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB). Methods We searched MEDLINE (1966 to 2004), EMBASE (1989 to 2000), The Cochrane Library (Issue 1, 2004), IPA (1970 to 2004), and Chinese Biomedicine Database (1980 to 2003). The quality of included studies such as randomization, blinding, allocation concealment and loss of follow up was evaluated and meta-analysis was performd by RevMan 4.2 software. Results Eighteen randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were included. The meta-analysis of efficacy didn’t show statistical significance when comparing the pooled effect size of left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD), cardiac output (CO), heart rate (HR), degree of cardiac function. The pooled RR rate of side effects was 2.17, 95%CI 1.53 to 3.07, P＜0.000 01. Conclusions No evidence shows significant difference of ACEI group from ARB group in the improvement of cardiac function and left ventricle remodeling. The rate of side effects of ACEI is statistically higher than that of ARB.