Objective To investigate the outcome and prognostic factors of hospital mortality in patients with acute cerebrovascular disease requiring mechanical ventilation.Methods Data from 94 patients with acute cerebrovascular disease in central intensive care unit(ICU) were collected and retrospectively analyzed.Prognostic factors of hospital mortality were analyzed by univariate statistics and multivariate logistic regression.Results Hospital mortality was 53.2%(50/94).There was significance diference in parameters such as APACHE II score，blood glucose，lengh of hospital stay，lengh of ICU stay，time of mechanical ventilation，incision of trachea，lung infections，lesion loci and its naturer between the survival and non-survival groups（all Plt;0.05）.Multivariate logistic regression revealed that blood glucose，lung infections，diseased region under tentorium of cerebellum，time of mechanical ventilation were independent prognostic risk factors of hospital mortality(all Plt;0.05).Whereas the lengh of ICU stay was protective factor(Plt;0.05).Conclusion The hospital mortality is considerably high in patients with acute cerebrovascular disease requiring mechanical ventilation. The prognostic factors such as blood glucose and lung infections should be evaluate cautiously and prevented aggressively.
Abstract： Objective To evaluate prediction validation of Sino System for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation （SinoSCORE） on in-hospital mortality in adult heart surgery patients in West China Hospital.?Methods?We included clinical records of 2 088 consecutive adult patients undergoing heart surgery in West China Hospital from January 2010 to May 2012, who were also included in Chinese Adult Cardiac Surgical Registry.We compared the difference of preoperative risk factors for the patients between Chinese Adult Cardiac Surgical Registry and West China Hospital. SinoSCORE was used to predict in-hospital mortality of each patient and to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of SinoSCORE for the patients.?Results?Among the 2 088 patients in West China Hospital, there were 168 patients （8.05%） undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting （CABG）, 1 884 patients （90.23%） undergoing heart valve surgery, and 36 patients （1.72%） undergoing other surgical procedures. There was statistical difference in the risk factors including hyperlipemia, stroke, cardiovascular surgery history, and kidney disease between the two units.The observed in-hospital mortality was 2.25% （47/2 088）. The predicted in-hospital mortality calculated by SinoSCORE was 2.35% （49/2 088） with 95% confidence interval 2.18 to 2.47. SinoSCORE was able to predict in-hospital mortality of the patients with good discrimination （Hosmer Lemeshow test: χ2=3.164, P=0.582） and calibration （area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.751 with 95% confidence interval 0.719 to 0.924）. Conclusion SinoSCORE is an accurate predictor in predicting in-hospital mortality in adult heart surgery patients who are mainly from southwest China
Abstract： Objective To establish a risk prediction model and risk score for inhospital mortality in heart valve surgery patients, in order to promote its perioperative safety. Methods We collected records of 4 032 consecutive patients who underwent aortic valve replacement, mitral valve repair, mitral valve replacement, or aortic and mitral combination procedure in Changhai hospital from January 1,1998 to December 31,2008. Their average age was 45.90±13.60 years and included 1 876 (46.53%) males and 2 156 (53.57%) females. Based on the valve operated on, we divided the patients into three groups including mitral valve surgery group (n=1 910), aortic valve surgery group (n=724), and mitral plus aortic valve surgery group (n=1 398). The population was divided a 60% development sample (n=2 418) and a 40% validation sample (n=1 614). We identified potential risk factors, conducted univariate analysis and multifactor logistic regression to determine the independent risk factors and set up a risk model. The calibration and discrimination of the model were assessed by the HosmerLemeshow (H-L) test and [CM(159mm]the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve,respectively. We finally produced a risk score according to the coefficient β and rank of variables in the logistic regression model. Results The general inhospital mortality of the whole group was 4.74% (191/4 032). The results of multifactor logistic regression analysis showed that eight variables including tricuspid valve incompetence with OR=1.33 and 95%CI 1.071 to 1.648, arotic valve stenosis with OR=1.34 and 95%CI 1.082 to 1.659, chronic lung disease with OR=2.11 and 95%CI 1.292 to 3.455, left ventricular ejection fraction with OR=1.55 and 95%CI 1.081 to 2.234, critical preoperative status with OR=2.69 and 95%CI 1.499 to 4.821, NYHA ⅢⅣ (New York Heart Association) with OR=2.75 and 95%CI 1.343 to 5641, concomitant coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) with OR=3.02 and 95%CI 1.405 to 6.483, and serum creatinine just before surgery with OR=4.16 and 95%CI 1.979 to 8.766 were independently correlated with inhospital mortality. Our risk model showed good calibration and discriminative power for all the groups. P values of H-L test were all higher than 0.05 (development sample: χ2=1.615, P=0.830, validation sample: χ2=2.218, P=0.200, mitral valve surgery sample: χ2=5.175,P=0.470, aortic valve surgery sample: χ2=12.708, P=0.090, mitral plus aortic valve surgery sample: χ2=3.875, P=0.380), and the areas under the ROC curve were all larger than 0.70 (development sample: 0.757 with 95%CI 0.712 to 0.802, validation sample: 0.754 and 95%CI 0.701 to 0806; mitral valve surgery sample: 0.760 and 95%CI 0.706 to 0.813, aortic valve surgery sample: 0.803 and 95%CI 0.738 to 0.868, mitral plus aortic valve surgery sample: 0.727 and 95%CI 0.668 to 0.785). The risk score was successfully established: tricuspid valve regurgitation (mild:1 point, moderate: 2 points, severe:3 points), arotic valve stenosis (mild: 1 point, moderate: 2 points, severe: 3 points), chronic lung disease (3 points), left ventricular ejection fraction (40% to 50%: 2 points, 30% to 40%: 4 points, ＜30%: 6 points), critical preoperative status (3 points), NYHA IIIIV (4 points), concomitant CABG (4 points), and serum creatinine (＞110 μmol/L: 5 points).Conclusion Eight risk factors including tricuspid valve regurgitation are independent risk factors associated with inhospital mortality of heart valve surgery patients in China. The established risk model and risk score have good calibration and discrimination in predicting inhospital mortality of heart valve surgery patients.
ObjectiveTo explore the corresponding intervention measures to reduce maternal mortality rate by analyzing the causes and problems of maternal deaths. MethodsA retrospective analysis was conducted to analyze all cases of maternal mortality from January 2005 to June 2013 in West China Second University Hospital. ResultsAmong the 14 cases of maternal deaths, the main diseases of the patients were pregnancy complicated with heart disease, hypertensive disorders, obstetric hemorrhage, amniotic fluid embolism and ectopic pregnancy. Four cases got prescriptive prenatal care during pregnancy, accounting for 28.6% (4/14), while 10 cases did not, accounting for 71.4% (10/14). Six patients died in prenatal period which accounted for 42.9% (6/14), while 8 died in postnatal period which accounted for 57.1% (6/14) and 5 died within 24 hours which accounted for 62.5% (5/8). Seven underwent cesarean section and 6 fetuses survived. Two went through trial of labor and no fetus survived. There was no ordered postmortem. ConclusionIntensifying education of prenatal care during pregnancy, improving quality of obstetrical service and diathesis of healthcare professionals, strengthening the supervision of high-risk pregnancy and timely choosing the time and manner of delivery are the main measures to decrease the maternal mortality.
ObjectiveTo investigate the efficacy and safety of laparoscopic surgery for overweight/obese patients with acute perforated or gangrenous appendicitis. MethodsFrom January 2007 to December 2014, patients with acute perforated or gangrenous appendicitis underwent laparoscopic (152 cases) or open (60 cases) appendectomy were collected, who were retrospectively classified into overweight/obese group (BMI≥25 kg/m2, n=69) or normal weight group (BMI < 25 kg/m2, n=143). Conversion rate, operation time, hospital stay, readmission, reoperation, and postoperative complications such as incision infection, abdominal abscess, and lung infection were analyzed. Results①The rate of conversion to open surgery had no significant difference between the overweight/obese group and the normal weight group[4.2% (2/48) versus 6.7% (7/104), χ2=0.06, P > 0.05].②The operation time of laparoscopic surgery in the overweight/obese group was significantly shorter than that of the open surgery in the overweight/obese group[(41.6±11.7) min versus (63.1±23.3) min, P < 0.01], which had no significant difference between the laparoscopic surgery in the overweight/obese group and laparoscopic surgery in the normal weight group[(41.6±11.7) min versus (39.6±12.7) min, P > 0.05].③The total complications rate and incision infection rate of the laparoscopic surgery in the overweight/obese group were significantly lower than those of the open surgery in the overweight/obese group[total complications rate:16.7% (8/48) versus 52.4% (11/21), χ2=9.34, P < 0.01; incision infection rate:4.2% (2/48) versus 33.3% (7/21), χ2=8.54, P < 0.01]. Although the total complications rate of all the patients in the overweight/obese group was increased as compared with all the patients in the normal weight group[27.5% (19/69) versus 14.7% (21/143), χ2=5.02, P < 0.01], but which had no significant difference between the laparoscopic surgery in the overweight/obese group and laparoscopic surgery in the normal weight group[16.7% (8/48) versus 12.5% (13/104), χ2=0.45, P > 0.05].④The reoperation rate of all the patients performed laparoscopic surgery was significantly lower than that of all the patients performed open operation[1.3% (2/152) versus 10.0% (6/60), χ2=6.7, P < 0.01].⑤The abdominal abscess rate, lung infection rate, and hospital stay after discharge had no significant differences among all the patients (P > 0.05). ConclusionLaparoscopic appendectomy could be considered a safe technique for overweight/obese patients with acute perforated or gangrenous appendicitis, which could not increase the difficulty of laparoscopic surgery and the perioperative risk.
Surgical risk prediction is to predict postoperative morbidity and mortality with internationally authoritative mathematical models. For patients undergoing high-risk cardiac surgery, surgical risk prediction is helpful for decision-making on treatment strategies and minimization of postoperative complications, which has gradually arouse interest of cardiac surgeons. There are many risk prediction models for cardiac surgery in the world, including European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE), Ontario Province Risk (OPR)score, Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS)score, Cleveland Clinic risk score, Quality Measurement and Management Initiative (QMMI), American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA)Guidelines for Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery, and Sino System for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation (SinoSCORE). All these models are established from the database of thousands or ten thousands patients undergoing cardiac surgery in a specific region. As different sources of data and calculation imparities exist, there are probably bias and heterogeneities when the models are applied in other regions. How to decrease deviation and improve predicting effects had become the main research target in the future. This review focuses on the progress of risk prediction models for patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical characteristics and survival rate of the patients with extraocular retinoblastoma (RB). MethodsThis is a retrospective case analysis. From November 2003 to May 2015, 38 eyes of 31 patients with RB in the extra-ocular stage from 213 RB patients were enrolled in this study. There were 18 males and 13 females. Bilateral lesions were observed in 7 patients and unilateral lesions were observed in 24 patients.19 patients were diagnosed at less than 2 years old, 10 patients at 2 to 5 years old, and 2 patients at age over 5 years old. First visit time was less than 1 month in 12 patients, from 1 to 3 months in 15 patients, over 3 months to 6 months in 4 patients. Medical history and family history were record at the first visit. All patients underwent orbital CT, MRI, double color Doppler imaging and wide angle digital retinal imaging system. CT and (or) MRI examination detected tumor extraocular invasion. Histopathological examination showed that there were tumor cells invasion of the scleral, optic nerve root and optic nerve. Chemotherapy was done after surgery. In the extra-ocular stage, 3 to 6 rounds of intensive chemotherapy combined with orbital radiotherapy were done. The average follow-up period was (25.5±4.5) months after treatment. The cumulative survival rate was observed after 6 months, 1 and 5 years after treatment, and the relationship between the initial age, time, sex, single eye, tumor and survival time of the patients was analyzed. ResultsThe extraocular RB accounted 14.55% of all RB patients in this study. There is no family history of RB, no special history. There were 15 patients with leukocoria and yellow-white reflection in the pupil; 5 patients with lacrimation, swelling, photophobia and exophthalmos; 11 patients with strabismus. The cumulative survival rate at 6 months, 1, 5 years after treatment was (78.0±9.0)%, (62.0±11.0)%, (57.0±11.0)% respectively. The average survival time was (53.9±7.8) months; the cumulative survival rate was (59.3±11.3)%. When the age of first visit was less than 1 month, 1-3 months, 3-6 months, the median survival time was 78, 15 and 18 months respectively, the cumulative survival rate was 100.0%, (40.0±21.9)% and (25.0±21.7)%, respectively. The survival time of the newly diagnosed patients at 1 month was more than at 1 to 6 months, and the difference was statistically significant (t=9.20, P < 0.05). Conclusions14.55% of all RB patients was extraocular RB in this study. One of the most common clinical manifestations is leukocoria at the first visit. The cumulative survival rate of extraocular RB is lower, while the survival rate of patients with the age of first visit time was less than 1 month is higher.
Risk stratifications are valuable aids for stratifying patients by disease severity, driving informed clinical decisions, because they allow the selection of the most appropriate strategy of treatment based on the patient's individual characteristics. The clinical algorithms help patients and their families to get a better understanding of issues relevant to treatment strategies and subsequent risks as part of the process to obtain informed consent. The current risk stratifications of coronary artery bypass grafting included the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Score, the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation, SinoSystem for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation. This review focuses on the progress of risk stratifications of coronary artery bypass grafting for patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
Objective To assess the independent risk factors of in-hospital mortality and morbidity after surgical procedure for Stanford type A aortic dissection (TAAD). Methods Between May 2013 and May 2015, 341 TAAD patients were treated with surgical procedure in Fu Wai Hospital. There were 246 males and 95 females with a mean age of 47.42±11.54 years (range 29-73 years). Among them, 87 patients suffered severe complications or death after the procedure (complication group) and the other 254 patients recovered well without any severe complications (no complication group). Perioperative clinical data were compared between the two groups. Results Mean age of patients in the complication group was significantly higher than that of the no complication group (49.91±11.22 yearsvs. 46.57±11.54 years,P=0.019). The incidence of preoperative ischemic organ injury in the complication group was significantly higher than that in the no complication group: cerebral ischemia (18.4%vs. 5.9%,P=0.001), spinal cord injury (16.1%vs. 4.7%,P=0.001), acute kidney injury (31.0%vs. 10.6%,P=0.000). The incidence of branch vessels involvement in the complication group was significantly higher than that in the no complication group: coronary artery involvement (52.9%vs. 17.1%,P=0.000), supra-aortic vessels involvement (73.6%vs. 53.9%,P=0.001), celiac artery involvement (37.9%vs. 22.0%,P=0.003), mesenteric artery involvement (18.4%vs. 9.8%,P=0.030), and unilateral or bilateral renal artery involvement (27.6%vs. 9.8%,P=0.000). Surgical time of patients in the complication group was significantly longer than that of the no complication group, including cardiopulmonary bypass time (205.05±63.65 minvs. 167.67±50.24 min,P<0.05) and cross-clamp time (108.11±34.79 minvs. 90.75±27.33 min,P<0.05). Multiple regression analysis found that age, preoperative concomitant cerebral ischemic injury, preoperative concomitant acute renal injury, preoperative limb sensory and/or motor dysfunction, coronary artery involvement, cardiopulmonary bypass time were independent risk factors of postoperative death and severe complications in TAAD patients. However, risk of postoperative mortality and morbidity significantly decreased after the concomitant coronary artery bypass graft [OR=0.167 (0.060, 0.467),P=0.001]. Conclusion The high risk factors of postoperative complication in TAAD patients are explored to provide an important clinical basis for preoperative identification of patients at high risk and we need pay more attention to the prevention of these postoperative complications.
Objective To assess the completion of the under 5 mortality rate (U5MR) of Millennium Development Goals in 194 member countries of WHO, and to analyze the present situation of the global U5MR. Methods Based on the U5MR and the proportion of main causes of death in the "World Health Statistics 2015", the Millennium Development Goals of the decline of U5MR from 1990 to 2013 was assessed, the U5MR was analyzed by comparison between 2000 and 2013. Bivariate Pearson correlation analysis was used to determine the correlation between mortality and the ratio of infection to non infectious diseases and GDP per person in U5MR. Results By 2013, in 194 WHO member states, the U5MR in 46 (23.71%) countries achieved the millennium development goals. Comparison between 2000 and 2013, there was significant difference between low and high mortality groups in six continents (P<0.05), there was no significant difference between the moderate death groups (P>0.05), there was no significant difference in the ratio of infection to non infectious diseases between the middle and low mortality groups (P>0.05), however there was significant difference between the high mortality groups (P<0.05). There was significant difference in the average decline of U5MR and the ratio of non infectious diseases between low and medium, middle and high mortality groups (P<0.05). The Global U5MR had significant regional differences, the highest U5MR was in Africa, the lowest U5MR was in Europe, the medium U5MR was in North America, Oceania, South America, Asia was becoming the middle level. The U5MR was highly correlated with the ratio of infection to non-infectious diseases in every country (r2000y=0.934,r2013y=0.911,P<0.05), and it was low negatively correlated with GDP per capita (r2000y=–0.443,r2013y=–0.433,P<0.05). Conclusions There is a long way to reduce global child mortality. Prevention and control should focus on Africa and Asia. Prevention and control of infectious diseases is an effective measure for middle and high mortality countries. Prevention and control of non-infectious diseases is an important measure for low mortality countries. Increasing health investment is an important means to further reduce global U5MR.