ObjectiveTo analyze the risk factors for postoperative mortality of elder patients with intertrochanteric fractures.MethodsPatients with intertrochanteric fractures who underwent proximal femoral interlocking intramedullary nail fixation between January 2014 and December 2015 were enrolled in the study. Among them, 135 patients who met the selection criteria were included in the study, and the clinical data were collected, including gender, age, time from admission to surgery, comorbidities, and preoperative hemoglobin, albumin, and total lymphocyte count (TLC), and nutritional status. Univariate analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression model were used to screen the risk factors for postoperative mortality.ResultsTwenty-seven patients (20.0%) died within 2 years after surgery, and 16 (11.9%) died within 1 year after surgery. Univariate analysis showed that age, coronary atherosclerotic heart disease, number of comorbidities, preoperative hemoglobin and albumin levels were the influencing factors of postoperative mortality in elder patients with intertrochanteric fractures treated with proximal femoral interlocking intramedullary nail fixation (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that age (≥80 years), combined more than 2 medical diseases, and preoperative albumin (<35 g/L) were the independent risk factors for postoperative mortality (P<0.05).ConclusionTo improve the clinical outcomes, perioperative risk should be comprehensively evaluated and perioperative management strengthened in the elder patients with intertrochanteric fractures, especially those with advanced age, more combined diseases, and low albumin, for the high postoperative mortality.
Objective To verify the association between admission serum phosphate level and short-term (<30 days) mortality of severe pneumonia patients admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) / respiratory intensive care unit (RICU). Methods Severe pneumonia patients admitted to the ICU/RICU of Quanzhou First Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University from November 2019 to September 2021 were included in the study. Serum phosphate was demonstrated as an independent risk factor for short-term mortality of severe pneumonia patients admitted to ICU/RICU by logical analysis and receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve. The patients were further categorized by serum phosphate concentration to explore the relationship between serum phosphate level and short-term mortality. Results Comparison of baseline indicators at admission between the survival group (n=54) and the non survival group (n=46) revealed that there was significant difference in serum phosphate level [0.9 (0.8, 1.2) mmol/L vs. 1.2 (0.9, 1.5) mmol/L, P<0.05]. Logical analysis showed serum phosphate was an independent risk factor for short-term mortality. ROC curve showed that the prediction ability of serum phosphate was close to pneumonia severity index (PSI). After combining serum phosphate with PSI score, CURB65 score, and sequential organ failure score, the predictive ability of these scores for short-term mortality was improved. Compared with the normophosphatemia group, hyperphosphatemia was found be with significantly higher short-term mortality (85.7% vs. 47.3%, P<0.05), which is absent in hypophosphatemia (25.8%). Conclusions Serum phosphate at admission has a good predictive value on short-term mortality in severe pneumonia patients admitted to the ICU/RICU. Hyperphosphatemia at admission is associated with a higher risk of short-term death.
ObjectiveTo analyze and compare the incidence, mortality, temporal trends, and cancer spectrum differences between China and the United States (US), providing theoretical support for cancer prevention and control in China. MethodsAge standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and cancer site composition were extracted from GLOBOCAN, Cancer Statistics 2025, the China Cancer Registry Annual Report, and other epidemiological sources. Spatial (urban-rural, sex specific) and temporal distributions were described, and average annual growth rate (AAGR) were calculated. ResultsFrom 2005 onward, China exhibited a modest rise in ASIR, whereas the US showed a decline (AAGR: 0.58 vs –0.42); nevertheless, China’s overall incidence remained lower (2022 ASIR = 201.61/100 000) than that of the US (303.60/100 000). Both countries experienced decreasing ASMR (AAGR: –1.03 vs –1.72). In both nations, male ASIR and ASMR were higher than female. Since 2005, the top three US cancers had remained prostate (men) or breast (women), lung and colorectal cancer. In China, incidences of lung, colorectal, female breast and thyroid cancers had continued to rise, while stomach and liver cancer incidences had declined yet still rank high among men. Urban ASIR in China exceeded rural rates, whereas rural ASMR was higher than urban counterparts. ConclusionsAccelerating population ageing and lifestyle transitions have driven an upward incidence trend in China, accompanied by a shift towards a mixed pattern of traditional and emerging cancer risks. Drawing on US experience, China should intensify tobacco control measures, expand organized screening and early detection programs, implement comprehensive interventions for priority cancers, strengthen primary level capacity and improve treatment access in rural areas, thereby establishing a more effective national cancer prevention and control system.
Objective To analyze the clinical characteristics, mortality risk and risk factors of patients with carbapenem resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB), so as to provide references for the prevention and control of CRAB. Methods Inpatients with Acinetobacter baumannii were selected from the clinical samples in the intensive care unit of Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences and Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital between January 2018 and December 2021. The patients were divided into CRAB infection group, carbapenem-sensitive Acinetobacter baumannii (CSAB) infection group and CRAB colonization group. Survival analysis was used to analyze the mortality risk and its influencing factors in patients with CRAB infection. Results A total of 696 patients were included. Among them, there were 392 cases of CRAB infection, 267 cases of CRAB colonization, and 37 cases of CSAB infection. The factors that increased the 30-day mortality risk of CRAB mainly included blood transfusion or use of blood products, mechanical ventilation, respiratory failure, maximum procalcitonin and age. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the 30-day mortality risk of CRAB infection group was higher than that of CSAB infection group（χ2=4.837, P=0.028), there was no significant difference between CRAB infection group and CRAB colonization group in 30-day mortality risk（χ2=0.219, P=0.640). Conclusions The mortality risk of CRAB infected patients is higher. Compared with the infection status, the 30-day mortality risk of patients is more attributed to drug resistance status. The effective method to control the mortality rate of CRAB should focus on reducing the hospital acquisition rate of CRAB.
Objective To assess the completion of the under 5 mortality rate (U5MR) of Millennium Development Goals in 194 member countries of WHO, and to analyze the present situation of the global U5MR. Methods Based on the U5MR and the proportion of main causes of death in the "World Health Statistics 2015", the Millennium Development Goals of the decline of U5MR from 1990 to 2013 was assessed, the U5MR was analyzed by comparison between 2000 and 2013. Bivariate Pearson correlation analysis was used to determine the correlation between mortality and the ratio of infection to non infectious diseases and GDP per person in U5MR. Results By 2013, in 194 WHO member states, the U5MR in 46 (23.71%) countries achieved the millennium development goals. Comparison between 2000 and 2013, there was significant difference between low and high mortality groups in six continents (P<0.05), there was no significant difference between the moderate death groups (P>0.05), there was no significant difference in the ratio of infection to non infectious diseases between the middle and low mortality groups (P>0.05), however there was significant difference between the high mortality groups (P<0.05). There was significant difference in the average decline of U5MR and the ratio of non infectious diseases between low and medium, middle and high mortality groups (P<0.05). The Global U5MR had significant regional differences, the highest U5MR was in Africa, the lowest U5MR was in Europe, the medium U5MR was in North America, Oceania, South America, Asia was becoming the middle level. The U5MR was highly correlated with the ratio of infection to non-infectious diseases in every country (r2000y=0.934,r2013y=0.911,P<0.05), and it was low negatively correlated with GDP per capita (r2000y=–0.443,r2013y=–0.433,P<0.05). Conclusions There is a long way to reduce global child mortality. Prevention and control should focus on Africa and Asia. Prevention and control of infectious diseases is an effective measure for middle and high mortality countries. Prevention and control of non-infectious diseases is an important measure for low mortality countries. Increasing health investment is an important means to further reduce global U5MR.
ObjectiveTo systematically evaluate prediction models for in-hospital mortality risk in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). MethodsA comprehensive search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and CNKI databases from inception to May 30, 2025, to identify studies related to AMI in-hospital mortality prediction models. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). Relevant data were extracted for model quality assessment. ResultsA total of 29 studies involving 75 AMI in-hospital mortality prediction models were included. Key predictive factors identified included Killip classification, neutrophil count, renal insufficiency, age, systolic blood pressure, and left ventricular ejection fraction. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) ranged from 0.580 to 0.998. Internal validation was reported in 21 studies, external validation in 4, and both in 4 studies. Model calibration was evaluated in 23 studies. Most models were presented as nomograms. All studies demonstrated good applicability, though 25 were rated as high risk of bias overall. ConclusionCurrent AMI in-hospital mortality prediction models show generally good predictive performance, with some variables exhibiting stable predictive effects. However, the lack of external validation and high risk of bias remain prevalent issues. Future studies should focus on prospective, multicenter, high-quality designs to enhance the practical and clinical value of these models.
Objective To analyze the results of intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) support in patients receiving coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) and the risk factors of postoperative death. Methods The clinical data of 334 patients undergoing CABG procedure and receiving IABP support in Fuwai Hospital from January 1999 to April 2012 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the IABP insertion timing, the patients were divided into three groups: pre-, intra- and postoperative IABP groups. There were 45 males and 11 females aged 60.5±10.7 years in the preoperative IABP group, 84 males and 23 females aged 61.1±8.4 years in the intraoperative IABP group and 119 males and 52 females aged 61.4±8.5 years in the postoperative IABP group.Outcomes of the three groups were compared, including mortality, major complications, ICU stay, hospital stay and total costs. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to predict independent risk factors for postoperative in-hospital death. Results The total in-hospital mortality was 16.8% (56/334). Mortality was significantly different among the pre-, intra- and postoperative IABP groups (3.6% vs.23.4%vs. 17.0%, P=0.006). There was no significant difference in complications among the three groups (P=0.960). Multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated that independent risk factors for postoperative mortality included old age (OR=1.05, P=0.040), female (OR=3.34, P<0.001) and increasing left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD,OR=1.06, P=0.040). Preoperative IABP support was protective factor (OR=0.10, P=0.050). Conclusion The results of IABP support in CABG patients are satisfactory, and patients with preoperative IABP have a lower mortality. Risk factors for postoperative death include old age, female and increasing LVEDD. Preoperative IABP support is a protective factor.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the dose-response relationship between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality in the elderly with frailty.MethodsPubMed, EMbase, Web of Science, CNKI, VIP, WanFang Data, and CBM databases were electronically searched to collect cohort studies on the association of BMI and mortality in frail adults from inception to November 2019. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed risk bias of included studies; Stata 15.0 software was then used to analyze the dose-response analysis of BMI and mortality by restricted cubic spline function and generalized least squares method.ResultsA total of 4 cohort studies involving 12 861 frail adults were included. Meta-analysis results showed that compared with normal BMI, the frail elderly who were overweight (HR=0.80, 95%CI 0.74 to 0.88, P<0.001) and obese (HR=0.89, 95%CI 0.79 to 1.00, P=0.047) had lower all-cause mortality. The results of dose-response meta-analysis showed that there was a non-linear relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality in the elderly with frailty (P value for nonlinearity was 0.035), for which the elderly with frailty had a BMI nadir of 27.5-31.9 kg/m2. For linear trends, and when BMI was less than 27.5 kg/m2, the risk of all-cause death was reduced by 4% for every 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI (RR=0.96, 95%CI 0.90 to 1.03, P=0.320), when BMI was greater than 27.5 kg/m2, the risk of all-cause death increased by 4% for every 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI (RR=1.04, 95%CI 1.03 to 1.05, P<0.001).ConclusionsThere is a paradox of obesity and a significant nonlinear relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality in the frailty elderly, with the lowest all-cause mortality in the frailty elderly at BMI 27.5-31.9 kg/m2. Due to limited quality and quantity of the included studies, more high quality studies are needed to verify the above conclusions.
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between the stress-induced hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) and all-cause, cardiovascular, and diabetes-related mortality in patients with advanced cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome, and to evaluate the value of SHR as an independent prognostic marker. MethodsThis retrospective cohort study used data from the 1999–2018 U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). A total of 2 135 patients with advanced CKM (stages 3 and 4) were included. Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox regression models were applied to assess the relationship between SHR and mortality outcomes. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis was employed to explore potential non-linear associations. Subgroup analyses were conducted to identify possible effect modifiers. ResultsOver a mean follow-up of 248 months, 674 all-cause, 198 cardiovascular, and 31 diabetes-related deaths occurred. Elevated SHR was significantly associated with diabetes-related mortality (HR=3.48, P<0.001) in a dose-response manner. SHR exhibited a U-shaped relationship with both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (non-linearity P<0.001), indicating increased risk at both low and high SHR levels. Subgroup analyses revealed that sex, BMI, and hyperlipidemia significantly modified the association between SHR and diabetes-related death. ConclusionSHR is an independent predictor of mortality risk in patients with advanced CKM syndrome, particularly for diabetes-related death. These findings support the integration of SHR into risk stratification of high-risk CKM populations and provide a basis for metabolic stress-targeted interventions.
Objective To assess the independent risk factors of in-hospital mortality and morbidity after surgical procedure for Stanford type A aortic dissection (TAAD). Methods Between May 2013 and May 2015, 341 TAAD patients were treated with surgical procedure in Fu Wai Hospital. There were 246 males and 95 females with a mean age of 47.42±11.54 years (range 29-73 years). Among them, 87 patients suffered severe complications or death after the procedure (complication group) and the other 254 patients recovered well without any severe complications (no complication group). Perioperative clinical data were compared between the two groups. Results Mean age of patients in the complication group was significantly higher than that of the no complication group (49.91±11.22 yearsvs. 46.57±11.54 years,P=0.019). The incidence of preoperative ischemic organ injury in the complication group was significantly higher than that in the no complication group: cerebral ischemia (18.4%vs. 5.9%,P=0.001), spinal cord injury (16.1%vs. 4.7%,P=0.001), acute kidney injury (31.0%vs. 10.6%,P=0.000). The incidence of branch vessels involvement in the complication group was significantly higher than that in the no complication group: coronary artery involvement (52.9%vs. 17.1%,P=0.000), supra-aortic vessels involvement (73.6%vs. 53.9%,P=0.001), celiac artery involvement (37.9%vs. 22.0%,P=0.003), mesenteric artery involvement (18.4%vs. 9.8%,P=0.030), and unilateral or bilateral renal artery involvement (27.6%vs. 9.8%,P=0.000). Surgical time of patients in the complication group was significantly longer than that of the no complication group, including cardiopulmonary bypass time (205.05±63.65 minvs. 167.67±50.24 min,P<0.05) and cross-clamp time (108.11±34.79 minvs. 90.75±27.33 min,P<0.05). Multiple regression analysis found that age, preoperative concomitant cerebral ischemic injury, preoperative concomitant acute renal injury, preoperative limb sensory and/or motor dysfunction, coronary artery involvement, cardiopulmonary bypass time were independent risk factors of postoperative death and severe complications in TAAD patients. However, risk of postoperative mortality and morbidity significantly decreased after the concomitant coronary artery bypass graft [OR=0.167 (0.060, 0.467),P=0.001]. Conclusion The high risk factors of postoperative complication in TAAD patients are explored to provide an important clinical basis for preoperative identification of patients at high risk and we need pay more attention to the prevention of these postoperative complications.