JIAO Siyang 1,2 , SUN Yungang 1,2 , ZHANG Qiang 1,2 , SHAO Feng 1,2
  • 1. Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Nanjing Brain Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 211166, P. R. China;
  • 2. Pulmonary Nodule Diagnosis and Treatment Research Center, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 211166, P. R. China;
SHAO Feng, Email: doctorshao1982@sina.com
Pulmonary nodule; localization; complications; risk factors; nomogram
10.7507/1007-4848.202407026
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Objective To analyze the independent risk factors affecting complications of preoperative localization of pulmonary nodules and establish and validate a nomogram risk prediction model. Methods Clinical data of patients who underwent thoracoscopic lung surgery with preoperative CT-guided Hookwire localization at the Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Nanjing Brain Hospital, Nanjing Medical University from January 2023 to October 2023 were collected. Patients were divided into a complication group and a non-complication group according to whether they had complications. The clinical data of the two groups were compared by univariate analysis and multivariate binary logistic regression analysis to determine the independent risk factors causing complications during localization, and a nomogram prediction model was established. The discrimination of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the consistency between predicted events and actual results was evaluated by calibration curve. Results A total of 300 patients were included, including 143 males and 157 females, aged 24-68 (46.00±22.81) years. Univariate analysis showed that there were statistically significant differences in age, number of nodules, preoperative anxiety score, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), number of needle adjustments, pain score, and distance between the tip of the localization needle and the visceral pleura between the two groups (P<0.05). Multivariate binary logistic regression analysis suggested that age [OR=1.020, 95%CI (1.000, 1.042), P=0.049], history of COPD [OR=3.281, 95%CI (1.751, 6.146), P<0.001], number of nodules [OR=1.667, 95%CI (1.221, 2.274), P=0.001], preoperative anxiety score [OR=1.061, 95%CI (1.031, 1.092), P<0.001], number of needle adjustments [OR=1.832, 95%CI (1.263, 2.658), P=0.001], and distance between the needle tip and the visceral pleura [OR=1.759, 95%CI (1.373, 2.254), P<0.001] were associated with localization complications. The area under the ROC curve for the modeling group was 0.825, and that for the validation group was 0.845. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that there was no statistically significant difference between the ideal curve of the model fitting curve and that of the modeling group and internal validation group, indicating good goodness of fit (χ2=6.488, P=0.593). Conclusion Advanced age, multiple nodules, preoperative anxiety, history of COPD, multiple needle adjustments, severe pain during localization, and long distance between the tip of the localization needle and the visceral pleura are independent risk factors for complications of lung nodule localization, and the prediction model based on these factors has good predictive performance.