ObjectiveTo assess the accuracy of European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) model in predicting the in-hospital mortality of Uyghur patients and Han nationality patients undergoing heart valve surgery. MethodsClinical data of 361 consecutive patients who underwent heart valve surgery at our center from September 2012 to December 2013 were collected, including 209 Uyghur patients and 152 Han nationality patients. According to the score for additive and logistic EuroSCORE models, the patients were divided into 3 subgroups including a low risk subgroup, a moderate risk subgroup, and a high risk subgroup. The actual and predicted mortality of each risk subgroup were studied and compared. Calibration of the EuroSCORE model was assessed by the test of goodness of fit, discrimination was tested by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. ResultsThe actual mortality was 8.03% for overall patients, 6.70% for Uyghur patients,and 9.87% for Han nationality patients. The predicted mortality by additive EuroSCORE and logistic EuroSCORE for Uyghur patients were 4.03% and 3.37%,for Han nationality patients were 4.43% and 3.77%, significantly lower than actual mortality (P<0.01). The area under the ROC curve of additive EuroSCORE and logistic EuroSCORE for overall patients were 0.606 and 0.598, for Han nationality patients were 0.574 and 0.553,and for Uyghur patients were 0.609 and 0.610. ConclusionThe additive and logistic EuroSCORE are unable to predict the in-hospital mortality accurately for Uyghur and Han nationality patients undergoing heart valve surgery. Clinical use of these model should be considered cautiously.
Abstract： Objective To establish a risk prediction model and risk score for inhospital mortality in heart valve surgery patients, in order to promote its perioperative safety. Methods We collected records of 4 032 consecutive patients who underwent aortic valve replacement, mitral valve repair, mitral valve replacement, or aortic and mitral combination procedure in Changhai hospital from January 1,1998 to December 31,2008. Their average age was 45.90±13.60 years and included 1 876 (46.53%) males and 2 156 (53.57%) females. Based on the valve operated on, we divided the patients into three groups including mitral valve surgery group (n=1 910), aortic valve surgery group (n=724), and mitral plus aortic valve surgery group (n=1 398). The population was divided a 60% development sample (n=2 418) and a 40% validation sample (n=1 614). We identified potential risk factors, conducted univariate analysis and multifactor logistic regression to determine the independent risk factors and set up a risk model. The calibration and discrimination of the model were assessed by the HosmerLemeshow (H-L) test and [CM(159mm]the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve,respectively. We finally produced a risk score according to the coefficient β and rank of variables in the logistic regression model. Results The general inhospital mortality of the whole group was 4.74% (191/4 032). The results of multifactor logistic regression analysis showed that eight variables including tricuspid valve incompetence with OR=1.33 and 95%CI 1.071 to 1.648, arotic valve stenosis with OR=1.34 and 95%CI 1.082 to 1.659, chronic lung disease with OR=2.11 and 95%CI 1.292 to 3.455, left ventricular ejection fraction with OR=1.55 and 95%CI 1.081 to 2.234, critical preoperative status with OR=2.69 and 95%CI 1.499 to 4.821, NYHA ⅢⅣ (New York Heart Association) with OR=2.75 and 95%CI 1.343 to 5641, concomitant coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) with OR=3.02 and 95%CI 1.405 to 6.483, and serum creatinine just before surgery with OR=4.16 and 95%CI 1.979 to 8.766 were independently correlated with inhospital mortality. Our risk model showed good calibration and discriminative power for all the groups. P values of H-L test were all higher than 0.05 (development sample: χ2=1.615, P=0.830, validation sample: χ2=2.218, P=0.200, mitral valve surgery sample: χ2=5.175,P=0.470, aortic valve surgery sample: χ2=12.708, P=0.090, mitral plus aortic valve surgery sample: χ2=3.875, P=0.380), and the areas under the ROC curve were all larger than 0.70 (development sample: 0.757 with 95%CI 0.712 to 0.802, validation sample: 0.754 and 95%CI 0.701 to 0806; mitral valve surgery sample: 0.760 and 95%CI 0.706 to 0.813, aortic valve surgery sample: 0.803 and 95%CI 0.738 to 0.868, mitral plus aortic valve surgery sample: 0.727 and 95%CI 0.668 to 0.785). The risk score was successfully established: tricuspid valve regurgitation (mild:1 point, moderate: 2 points, severe:3 points), arotic valve stenosis (mild: 1 point, moderate: 2 points, severe: 3 points), chronic lung disease (3 points), left ventricular ejection fraction (40% to 50%: 2 points, 30% to 40%: 4 points, ＜30%: 6 points), critical preoperative status (3 points), NYHA IIIIV (4 points), concomitant CABG (4 points), and serum creatinine (＞110 μmol/L: 5 points).Conclusion Eight risk factors including tricuspid valve regurgitation are independent risk factors associated with inhospital mortality of heart valve surgery patients in China. The established risk model and risk score have good calibration and discrimination in predicting inhospital mortality of heart valve surgery patients.
Objective To retrospectively review the clinical experience and early surgical results of combined cardiac valve surgery and coronary artery bypass grafting （CABG）. Methods From Jan. 2000 to Dec. 2005, combined valve surgery and CABG was performed in 81 patients. 37 patients were rheumatic heart disease with coronary stenosis, and 44 patients were coronary artery disease with valvular dysfunction. Single vessel disease was in 18 patients, two vessels disease in 9 and triple-vessel disease in 54. All the patients received sternotomy and combined valve surgery and CABG under cardiopulmonary bypass. Mitral valve repair and CABG were done in 26 patients. Valve replacement and CABG were done in 55 patients with 49 mechanical valves and 16 tissue valves. Four patients had left ventricular aneurysm resection concomitantly. The number of distal anastomosis was 3.12 5= 1.51 with 66 left internal mammary arteries bypassed to left anterior descending. Post-operative intra-aortic balloon pump was required in 4 cases for low cardiac output syndrome. Results Two patients died of low cardiac output syndrome with multiple organs failure. 79 patients had smooth recovery and discharged from hospital with improved heart function. 64 patients had completed follow-up with 5 late non cardiac related death in a mean follow-up period of 14.2 months. Conclusion Combined one stage valve surgery and CABG is effective with acceptable morbidity and mortality.
Abstract： Objective To analyze risk factors associated with postoperative respiratory failure in patients with valvular surgery. Methods Between January 2001 and November 2010, clinical data of 618 patients with 339 males and 279 fameles at age of 10-74（44.01±13.95）years,undergoing valvular operations were investigated retrospectively. We divided the patients into two groups according to the presence （74 patients）or absence（544 patients）of postoperative respiratory failure. Its risk factors were evaluated by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results The hospital mortality rate of valvular surgery was 6.1%（38/618）.The morbidity rate of respiratory failure was 12.0%（74/618） with hospital mortality rate at 17.6%（13/74） which was significantly higher than those patients without postoperative respiratory failure at 4.6%（25/544, χ2=18.994, P=0.000）. Univariate analysis showed age＞ 65 years（P=0.005）, New York Heart Association（NYHA）classⅣ（P=0.014）, election fraction＜ 50.0%（P=0.003）, cardiopulmonary bypass time＞ 3 h（P=0.001）, aortic cross clamping time＞ 2 h（P=0.008）, concomitant operation（ valvular operation with coronary artery bypass grafting, Bentall or radiofrequency ablation maze operation（P=0.000）, reoperation（P=0.012）, postoperative complications （P=0.000）, and blood transfusion＞ 2 000 ml（P=0.000） were important risk factors for postoperative respiratory failure. Multivariate logistic regression showed that concomitant operation（P=0.003）, reoperation（P=0.010）, postoperative complications（P=0.000）, and blood transfusion＞2 000 ml（P=0.012）were significant independent predictive risk factors. Conclusion This study suggest that patients with predictive risk factors of postoperative respiratory failure need more carefully treated. The morbidity of these patients would be reduced through improving perioperative management, shortening cardiopulmonary bypass time and reducing postoperative complications.
Objective To analyze and explore the risk factors of secondary tricuspid regurgitation (TR) after left-sided valve surgery (left cardiac valve replacement or valvuloplasty) using meta-analysis, so as to provide evidence for clinical diagnosis and treatment of secondary TR. Methods We electronically searched databases including PubMed, MEDLINE, CBM, CNKI, VIP, for literature on the risk factors of secondary TR after left-sided valve surgery from 1995 to 2012. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, we screened literature, extracted data, and assessed methodological quality. Then, meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.0 software. Results A total of 6 case-control studies were included, involving 437 patients and 2 102 controls. The results of meta-analysis showed that, the risk factors of progressive exacerbation of secondary TR after left-sided valve surgery included preoperative atrial fibrillation (OR=3.90, 95%CI 3.00 to 5.07; adjusted OR=3.04, 95%CI 2.21 to 4.16), age (MD=5.36, 95%CI 3.49 to 7.23), huge left atrium (OR=5.17, 95%CI 3.12 to 8.57; adjusted OR=1.91, 95%CI 1.49 to 2.44) or left atrium diameter (MD=4.85, 95%CI 3.18 to 6.53), degradation of left heart function (OR=2.97, 95%CI 1.73 to 5.08), rheumatic pathological change (OR=3.06, 95%CI 1.66 to 4.68), preoperative TR no less than 2+ (OR=3.52, 95%CI 1.26 to 9.89), and mitral valve replacement (MVR) (OR=2.35, 95%CI 1.68 to 3.30). Sex (OR=1.54, 95%CI 0.94 to 2.52) and preoperative pulmonary arterial hypertension (OR=1.28, 95%CI 0.77 to 2.12) were not associated with secondary TR after left-sided valve surgery. Conclusion The risk factors of progressive exacerbation of secondary TR after left-sided valve surgery include preoperative atrial fibrillation, age, huge left atrium or left atrium diameter, degradation of left heart function, rheumatic pathological change, preoperative TR no less than 2+, and MVR. Understanding these risk factors helps us to improve the long-time effectiveness of preventing and treating TR after left-sided valve surgery.
ObjectiveTo assess the safety of the removal of pericardial and mediastinal drain within different drainage volume after cardiac valvular replacement surgery.MethodsBetween July 2013 and July 2017, 201 patients with rheumatic heart disease (CHD) were treated with valve replacement in our hospital, including 57 males and 144 females, aged 15 to 72 years. They were divided into two groups according to the amount of 24-h drainage before the drain removal: a group one with 24-h drainage volume≤50 ml (n=127) and a group two with 24-h drainage volume>50 ml (n=74). The postoperative hospital stay and the incidence of severe complications between the two groups were compared.ResultsThere was no difference between the two groups in the baseline information or the incidence of severe pericardial effusion and tamponade, while the group two tended to have a shorter length of hospital stay after surgery (8.0 d vs. 7.5 d, P=0.013).ConclusionIn CHD patients undergoing valvular surgery, compared with a relatively low amount of drainage before the drain removal, drawing the tube at a greater amount of drainage (24-h drainage volume>50 ml) will shorten the length of hospital stay after cardiac surgery while incidence of severe complications remains the same.
Objective To summarize the outcomes and clinical features for surgical treatment of nonischemic heart valve disease(HVD) combined with coronary artery disease(CAD), so that to get better surgical result. Methods From January 2000 to June 2007, 105 patients with the mean age of 61.96±7.61 years (range 36-79 years), underwent the combined procedures.The etiology of HVD included: 59 rheumatic valve disease, 24 degenerative mitral lesion, 13 calcified aortic valve lesion, and 9 other aortic valve disease. CAD was preoperatively diagnosed by coronary arteriongraphy in 98 patients, and intraoperatively identified in 7 patients. Left ventricular ejection fraction was 50% or less in 45 patients. The total number of bypass grafts was 216 with the mean of 2.06 grafts per patient. Valve procedures included: 36 mitral valve valve replacement, 15 mitral repair,43 aortic valve replacement, 11 mitral valve and aortic valve replacement. Results There were 6 postoperative deaths with the mortality of 5.7%. The causes of death were 3 low cardiac output syndrome, 2 renal failure, and 1 heart arrest resulting in multiple organs failure. Ninety-three survivals were followed up from 1 month to 7 years, 6 patients were missed on follow-up. There were no late death. New York Heart Association class Ⅰ was observed in 25 patients, class Ⅱ53, class Ⅲ 10 and class Ⅳ 5. One patient still had existential chest pain. Conclusion There were no typical angina in majority of patients with nonischemic HVD combined with CAD, coronary arteriongraphy must be taken in patients with the age of 50 years and more, or with the risk factors for CAD.Intraoperative myocardial protection is very important because CAD further deteriorates myocardial dysfunction caused by HVD.The decreased left ventricular function is the important factor affecting the surgical results and it is hard to evaluate the underlying cause before the operation.
In recent years, wearable devices have seen a booming development, and the integration of wearable devices with clinical settings is an important direction in the development of wearable devices. The purpose of this study is to establish a prediction model for postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) by continuously monitoring respiratory physiological parameters of cardiac valve surgery patients during the preoperative 6-Minute Walk Test (6MWT) with a wearable device. By enrolling 53 patients with cardiac valve diseases in the Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, the grouping was based on the presence or absence of PPCs in the postoperative period. The 6MWT continuous respiratory physiological parameters collected by the SensEcho wearable device were analyzed, and the group differences in respiratory parameters and oxygen saturation parameters were calculated, and a prediction model was constructed. The results showed that continuous monitoring of respiratory physiological parameters in 6MWT using a wearable device had a better predictive trend for PPCs in cardiac valve surgery patients, providing a novel reference model for integrating wearable devices with the clinic.